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2020\uff09\u3002\u6700\u7ec8\u901a\u8fc7\u52a0\u5927\u8054\u5408\u653b\u5173\uff0c \u7a81\u7834\u74f6\u9888\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u6807\u51c6\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u7545\u901a\u8f6c\u5316\u6e20\u9053\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u7a81\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u4e8c\u3001\u6574\u5408\u6570\u636e\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u9632\u8303\u5b89\u5168\u98ce\u9669<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u6570\u636e\u662f\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u4e09\u5927\u652f\u67f1\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u56e0\u5927\u6570\u636e\u800c\u91cd\u751f\uff0c 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2 0 1 6\uff09\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u52a0\u5feb\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u52a0\u5feb\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5f00\u653e\u548c\u5927\u529b\u6574\u5408\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u6570\u636e\u51c6\u786e\u4e0e\u6709\u6548\u8054\u901a\u3002\u5728\u89c4\u8303\u6570\u636e\u4f7f\u7528\u3001\u4fdd\u62a4\u9690\u79c1\u7b49\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\uff0c\u501f\u52a9\u533a\u5757\u94fe\u7b49\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u5efa\u8bbe\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u53f0\uff0c\u6c47\u805a\u591a\u79cd\u6765\u6e90\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u7edf\u4e00\u6807\u51c6\u548c\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u7528\u6237\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u9700\u6c42\uff0c \u5feb\u901f\u54cd\u5e94\uff0c\u53ca\u65f6\u63d0\u4f9b\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u3001\u667a\u80fd\u5316\u3001\u4fbf\u6377\u5316\u7684\u6570\u636e\u670d\u52a1\u65b9\u6848\uff08\u4ed8\u767b\u5761\u7b49\uff0c2020\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">\u7531\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u5f88\u9ad8\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u81ea\u8eab\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5584\u548c\u4f7f\u7528\u4e0d\u5f53\u7b49\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4e0d\u6cd5\u9ed1\u5ba2\u653b\u51fb\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u4fdd\u969c\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u9700\u8981\u653f\u7b56\u6cd5\u89c4\u4e0e\u6280\u672f\u624b\u6bb5\u7b49\u7684\u7ed3\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">1.\u5b8c\u5584\u7ec6\u5316\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6cd5\u89c4\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u6570\u636e\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u9996\u5148\u8981\u7acb\u6cd5\u786e\u5b9a\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6240\u6709\u6743\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6570\u636e\u6240\u6709\u8005\u6709\u5220\u9664\u4e2a\u4eba\u6570\u636e\u7684\u201c\u88ab\u9057\u5fd8\u6743\u201d\uff08\u738b\u575a\uff0c 2 0 1 8\uff09\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5b8c\u5584\u7ec6\u5316\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6cd5\u89c4\uff0c\u660e\u786e\u6570\u636e\u6536\u96c6\u3001\u5b58\u50a8\u3001\u5904\u7406\u3001\u4f7f\u7528\u7b49\u5404\u4e2a\u73af\u8282\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u3002\u5728\u6570\u636e\u6c47\u805a\u548c\u4f7f\u7528\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u5927\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u5b8c\u6210\u6570\u636e\u7684\u6e05\u6d17\u3001\u8131\u654f\u3001\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u548c\u6807\u51c6\u5316\uff08\u51af\u767b\u56fd\uff0c\u5f20\u654f\u548c\u674e\u660a\uff0c2014\uff09\u3002\u4fdd\u969c\u6570\u636e\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u53ef\u8ffd\u6eaf\u6027\uff0c\u5b8c\u5584\u8ffd\u8d23\u95ee\u8d23\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u89c4\u8303\u6570\u636e\u4f7f\u7528\u8303\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">2.\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u8054\u90a6\u5b66\u4e60\u201d\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u6570\u636e\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u5728\u6570\u636e\u4e0d\u51fa\u672c\u5730\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\uff0c\u5404\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u62e5\u6709\u65b9\u4f9d\u6258\u5404\u81ea\u6570\u636e\u5efa\u7acb\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5c06\u5404\u5730\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u4e0a\u4f20\u5230\u4e91\u7aef\uff0c\u518d\u5728\u4e91\u7aef\u8bad\u7ec3\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u7136\u540e\u5c06\u4f18\u5316\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6a21\u578b\u53c2\u6570\u8fd4\u56de\u5230\u5404\u5730\u5171\u4eab\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7b56\u7565\u65e2\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u6570\u636e\u5171\u4eab\uff0c\u53c8\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4e86\u6570\u636e\u5b89\u5168\uff08\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5927\u4f1a\u7ec4\u59d4\u4f1a\uff0c 2019\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">3.\u501f\u52a9\u5927\u6570\u636e\u548c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7b49\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4fdd\u969c\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u5728\u8f6f\u4ef6\u4e8c\u8fdb\u5236\u5206\u6790\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u653b\u51fb\u68c0\u6d4b\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u884c\u4e3a\u8f85\u52a9\u5206\u6790\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u4fe1\u606f\u8fc7\u6ee4\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u5957\u57fa\u4e8e\u201c\u5927\u6570\u636e+\u5a01\u80c1\u60c5\u62a5+\u5b89\u5168\u77e5\u8bc6+\u5b89\u5168\u4e13\u5bb6\u201d\u7684\u5168\u65b0\u6218\u6cd5\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u8986\u76d6\u6574\u4e2a\u56fd\u571f\u7a7a\u95f4\u7684\u667a\u80fd\u7f51\u7edc\u9632\u5fa1\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u5373\u56fd\u5bb6\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u5927\u8111\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5e94\u5bf9\u7f51\u7edc\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u4fdd\u969c\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u52a0\u5f3a\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u79d1\u7814\u9662\u6240\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u884c\u4e1a\u7b49\u5404\u65b9\u7d27\u5bc6\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u5171\u5efa\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5927\u751f\u6001\uff08\u5468\u9e3f\u794e\uff0c 2019\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p4\">\u4e09\u3001\u7acb\u8db3\u4eba\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u4f26\u7406\u6311\u6218<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u8de8\u8fc7\u5218\u6613\u65af\u62d0\u70b9\u3001\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u52a0\u5feb\u4e0e\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8f6c\u578b\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u538b\u529b\u52a0\u5927\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5177\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u524d\u666f\u3002\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e86\u751f\u4ea7\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u8d4b\u4e88\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u548c\u8d44\u672c\u66f4\u591a\u80fd\u91cf\uff0c\u62c9\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff08Aghion\uff0cBenjiamin and Charles\uff0c2017\uff09\uff1b\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4e5f\u4fc3\u4f7f\u751f\u4ea7\u65b9\u5f0f\u8d8b\u5411\u4eba\u6027\u5316\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4eba\u4eec\u9010\u6b65\u4ece\u91cd\u590d\u3001\u5355\u8c03\u3001\u5371\u9669\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u89e3\u653e\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4eba\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u5168\u9762\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u5174\u8d77\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e5f\u5bf9\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u4f26\u7406\u5173\u7cfb\u3001\u4eba\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u7b49\u53d1\u8d77\u4e86\u6df1\u5c42\u6b21\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" 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style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4eba\u7c7b\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4eba\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u7684\u6df1\u5c42\u6b21\u6311\u6218\u3002\u968f\u7740\u751f\u7269\u6280\u672f\u548c\u667a\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5f3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u65f6\u4ee3\u5c06\u4f1a\u5230\u6765\u3002\u4eba\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u8eab\u4f53\u4e0e\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u65e5\u76ca\u201c\u5171\u751f\u201d\uff0c\u201c\u5171\u751f\u4f53\u201d\u7a76\u7adf\u662f\u201c\u4eba\u201d\u8fd8\u662f\u201c\u673a\u5668\u201d\uff1f\u5f53\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u5177\u5907\u4e86\u4eba\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\uff0c\u4f1a\u5236\u9020\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5177\u6709\u4eba\u7684\u5916\u5f62\u3001\u58f0\u97f3\u4e0e\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u662f\u5426\u662f\u201c\u4eba\u201d\uff1f\u5982\u679c\u667a\u80fd\u673a\u5668\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u662f\u201c\u4eba\u201d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5b83\u662f\u5426\u4eab\u6709\u4eba\u6743\u7b49\u57fa\u672c\u6743\u5229\uff1f\u662f\u5426\u5e94\u8be5\u627f\u62c5\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u540e\u679c\uff1f\u8d85\u7ea7\u667a\u80fd\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u201c\u5931\u63a7\u201d\uff0c\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u53d6\u4ee3\u3001\u63a7\u5236\u6216\u7edf\u6cbb\u4eba\u7c7b\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u6781\u5177\u6311\u6218\u6027\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff08\u5b59\u4f1f\u5e73\uff0c2017\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u76ee\u524d\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u6709\u4e24\u5957\u88ab\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u53ef\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4f26\u7406\u5171\u8bc6\u3002\u4e00\u5957\u662f\u201c\u963f\u897f\u6d1b\u9a6c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u539f\u5219\u201d\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u5957\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u7535\u6c14\u7535\u5b50\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e08\u5b66\u4f1a\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u4f26\u7406\u51c6\u5219\u201d 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2018\uff09\u3002\u4e09\u662f\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u7ec6\u5316\u5b8c\u5584\u73b0\u884c\u6cd5\u5f8b\u6cd5\u89c4\uff0c\u660e\u786e\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u8bbe\u8ba1\u8005\u3001\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u548c\u4f7f\u7528\u8005\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\u8303\u56f4\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u9700\u8981\u786e\u4fdd\u7528\u6237\u5bf9\u7b97\u6cd5\u7b49\u6709\u77e5\u60c5\u6743\u4e0e\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u6743\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u52a0\u5f3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u4f26\u7406\u98ce\u9669\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5ba3\u4f20\u4e0e\u6559\u80b2\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u56db\u3001\u964d\u4f4e\u5931\u4e1a\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u8c03\u6574\u8d62\u5bb6\u901a\u5403\u6a21\u5f0f<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9769\u547d\u901a\u8fc7\u53d8\u9769\u6280\u672f\u4f53\u7cfb\u3001\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u751f\u4ea7\u65b9\u5f0f\u5f71\u54cd\u5c31\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u5c31\u4e1a\u5f62\u6001\u3002\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u6548\u5e94\u4e3b\u8981\u5305\u62ec\u521b\u9020\u6548\u5e94\u548c\u66ff\u4ee3\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5bf9\u5c31\u4e1a\u7684\u521b\u9020\u6548\u5e94\u4e3b\u8981\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u95f4\u63a5\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u5373\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u901a\u8fc7\u63d0\u9ad8\u4f01\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6548\u7387\u4e0e\u964d\u4f4e\u751f\u4ea7\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7814\u53d1\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u4ea7\u54c1\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\u3001\u5e94\u7528\u4f01\u4e1a\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5c31\u4e1a\u589e\u957f\uff08 \u90b1\u73a5\u548c\u4f55\u52e4\uff0c 2 0 2 0 \uff09 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