{"id":6978,"date":"2019-03-01T09:56:58","date_gmt":"2019-03-01T01:56:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.chinado.cn\/?p=6978"},"modified":"2019-03-01T09:57:00","modified_gmt":"2019-03-01T01:57:00","slug":"2035%e5%b9%b4%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e5%a2%9e%e9%95%bf%e6%a0%bc%e5%b1%80%e5%b1%95%e6%9c%9b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/?p=6978","title":{"rendered":"2035\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u683c\u5c40\u5c55\u671b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201c\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u683c\u5c40\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6218\u7565\u9009\u62e9\u201d\u8bfe\u9898\u7ec4<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u56de\u987e<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u672a\u6765\u7684\u589e\u957f\u524d\u666f\u4e88\u4ee5\u5c55\u671b\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u5c55\u73b0\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u7279\u5f81\u4e8b\u5b9e\u8fdb\u884c\u603b\u7ed3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">1.\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u5c1a\u672a\u771f\u6b63\u56de\u5f52\u5386\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u662f\u534a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403\u5386\u6b21\u5371\u673a\u4e2d\u6062\u590d\u671f\u6700\u957f\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u5c1a\u672a\u6062\u590d\u81f3\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">2008\u5e74\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4f7f\u5f97\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9677\u5165\u4e86\u957f\u671f\u7684\u4f4e\u8ff7\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u9664\u4e862010\u5e74\u548c2011\u5e74\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u523a\u6fc0\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5e26\u52a8\u4e0b\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51fa\u73b0\u77ed\u6682\u6027\u590d\u82cf\u5916\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e00\u76f4\u7b3c\u7f69\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u9634\u5f71\u4e4b\u4e2d\u30022017\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u4e3a3.0%\uff0c\u8fd9\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u8fd16\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5728\u8fd9\u6b21\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u901f\u90fd\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e863%\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u4e0e\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u5371\u673a\u524d30 \u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u901f\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c2017\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u4ecd\u7136\u8981\u4f4e0.1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4ece\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6062\u590d\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u5371\u673a\u5f71\u54cd\u65f6\u95f4\u4e4b\u957f\u8d85\u51fa\u4ee5\u5f80\uff0c\u8fd1\u534a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u5176\u4f59\u5386\u6b21\u5371\u673a\u540e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u81f4\u7ecf\u53863-5\u5e74\u5373\u53ef\u6062\u590d\u81f3\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u6b64\u6b21\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7ecf\u538610\u5e74\u5c1a\u672a\u771f\u6b63\u6062\u590d\u81f3\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u5177\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6062\u590d\u72b6\u51b5\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672c\u6b21\u5371\u673a\u5f71\u54cd\u663e\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u6df1\u8fdc\u3002Reinhart\u548cRogoff\uff082014\uff09 \u8003\u5bdf\u4e86100\u6b21\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u524d\u540e\u5b9e\u9645\u4eba\u5747GDP\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u60c5\u51b5\u540e\u53d1\u73b0\uff1a\u5e73\u5747\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u5927\u7ea6\u9700\u89818\u5e74\u624d\u80fd\u6062\u590d\u5230\u5371\u673a\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u4e2d\u503c\u7ea6\u4e3a6.5\u5e74\uff1b\u8d85\u8fc740%\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u5728\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u540e\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u53cc\u5e95\u8870\u9000\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u59cb\u4e8e2007-2008\u5e74\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5371\u673a\u768412\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u6cd5\u56fd\u3001\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u5e0c\u814a\u3001\u51b0\u5c9b\u3001\u7231\u5c14\u5170\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\u3001\u8377\u5170\u3001\u8461\u8404\u7259\u3001\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c \u52302016\u5e74\u4ecd\u7136\u67095\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u5e0c\u814a\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\u3001\u8461\u8404\u7259\u3001\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\uff09\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u5c1a\u672a\u6062\u590d\u81f3\u5371\u673a\u524d\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u5e0c\u814a\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u76f4\u52302016\u5e74\u624d\u52c9\u5f3a\u6b62\u4f4f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u4e0e2007\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u51762016\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u5747GDP\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e8624%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">2.1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5448\u73b0\u8d8b\u52bf\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u6001\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u8fc7\u53bb2000\u591a\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u4ee5\u540e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f00\u542f\u4e86\u73b0\u4ee3\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u7684\u589e\u957f\u4e4b\u65c5\uff0c \u4f46\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76f4\u5230\u4e8c\u6218\u4e4b\u540e\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u5b9e\u73b0\u8d85\u8fc73%\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u4e8c\u6218\u4e4b\u540e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u660e\u663e\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u8fd9\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5927\u591a\u9ad8\u4e8e3%\u3002\u4e8c\u6218\u4e4b\u540e\u5230\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u77f3\u6cb9\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u95f4\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u901f\u63a5\u8fd15%\u3002\u800c\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u540e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u660e\u663e\u51fa\u73b0\u9010\u6b65\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u653e\u7f13\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4e5f\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u4eba\u5747GDP\u589e\u901f\u7684\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e861.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e861\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4eba\u5747GDP \u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u4e860.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">3.\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u80cc\u540e\u662f\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u589e\u901f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u5168\u7403\u6765\u770b\uff0cTFP\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u7684\u6001\u52bf\u975e\u5e38\u543b\u5408\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\u548c\u4e4b\u540e\u5b58\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e5f\u5bf9\u5168\u7403TFP \u589e\u901f\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u51b2\u51fb\uff0c\u4f46\u51b2\u51fb\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u8f83\u77ed\u3002\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403TFP\u589e\u901f\u5f00\u59cb\u8fc5\u901f\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8d76\u8d85\u4e86\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u589e\u901f\u3002\u4f46\u662f2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u540e\u9664\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u523a\u6fc0\u5e26\u52a8\u4e86\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4e24\u5e74\u7684\u6062\u590d\u6027\u589e\u957f\u5916\uff0c\u5168\u7403TFP\u4e00\u76f4\u5904\u4e8e\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u4e0e\u4ee5\u5f80\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c \u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\uff0cTFP\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u51e0\u4e4e\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u671f\u6765\u89c2\u5bdf\u5168\u7403TFP\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0TFP\u4e0b\u6ed1\u8d8b\u52bf\u5e76\u975e\u8fd1\u671f\u624d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5371\u673a\u6216\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u51b2\u51fb\u4e4b\u540e\u624d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u4ece\u4e3b\u8981\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u6210\u529f\u5b9e\u73b0\u8ffd\u8d76\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684TFP\u5386\u53f2\u53d8\u5316\u60c5\u51b5\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u9664\u4e2a\u522b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5916\uff0c \u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e2d\u5927\u591a\u6570\u90fd\u5728\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u516d\u4e03\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u4e4b\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86TFP\u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5fb7\u56fdTFP\u589e\u901f\u4ece\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e94\u516d\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u76843%\u5de6\u53f3\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f370 \u5e74\u4ee3\u4e4b\u540e\u76842%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd1\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u66f4\u662f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f30.5%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff1b\u6cd5\u56fd\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e5f\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u4ece\u7f8e\u56fd\u8fc7\u53bb100\u591a\u5e74\u7684TFP\u589e\u901f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u52a0\u6e05\u6670\u5730\u770b\u51fa\u8fd9\u79cd\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa20\u5e74\u4ee3\u523060\u5e74\u4ee3\u7f8e\u56fdTFP\u589e\u901f\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f1940\u5e74\u4ee3TFP\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u901f\u8d85\u8fc73%\uff1b \u7136\u800c1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u5f00\u59cbTFP\u589e\u901f\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u5341\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u901f\u90fd\u57281% \u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5448\u73b0\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u6001\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">4 . \u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u201c \u53cc\u901f\u201d\u589e\u957f\u6001\u52bf\u6108\u52a0\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u6bd4\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u81ea1960\u5e74\u81f3\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u9664\u4e861970\u5e74\u4ee3\u90e8\u5206\u5e74\u4efd\u5916\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5dee\u5f02\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u76f8\u5dee\u57fa\u672c\u57280.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u4e4b\u5185\u3002\u4f46\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7e41\u8363\u53d1\u5c55\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u4e24\u8005\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u90fd\u975e\u5e38\u5927\u3002\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u901f\u8981\u6bd4\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u5e73\u5747\u5feb3-4\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff1b\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\u4e24\u8005\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u524d\u8005\u6bd4\u540e\u8005\u9ad86\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u540e\u4e24\u8005\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u5448\u73b0\u7f29\u5c0f\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u4ecd\u7136\u8d85\u8fc72\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ece\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u53d8\u5316\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u5448\u73b0\u975e\u5e38\u660e\u663e\u7684\u53f0\u9636\u5f0f\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u4ece\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u76845%- 6%\uff0c\u4e0b\u964d\u81f370\u5e74\u4ee3\u76843%-4%\u300180 \u5e74\u4ee3\u81f3\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d\u76842%-3%\uff0c\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u540e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f31%-2%\u3002\u800c\u4e0e\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u9664\u4e861980\u5e74\u4ee3\u548c1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u53d7\u77f3\u6cb9\u5371\u673a\u548c\u6d77\u6e7e\u6218\u4e89\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5916\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u90fd\u57285%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u5dee\u5f02\u5316\u6001\u52bf\u76f8\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u683c\u5c40\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u8f6c\u6298\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa60\u5e74\u4ee3\u523090\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u671f\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5448\u73b0\u7f13\u6162\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u75311960\u5e74\u768476.6%\u4e0a\u5347\u81f31990 \u5e74\u768483.7%\u3002\u800c\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u671f\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c \u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u901f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u91cd\u5927\u9006\u8f6c\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bd4\u91cd\u5f00\u59cb\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u5360\u5168\u7403\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u7ffb\u756a\uff0c\u75312000\u5e74\u768418%\u5de6\u53f3\u4e0a\u5347\u52302016\u5e74\u768436%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u8fd9\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u8005\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5176GDP\u5360\u5168\u7403\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u4ece2000\u76843.6%\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u81f32016\u5e74\u768414.8%\uff0c \u7ffb\u4e86\u4e24\u756a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">5.\u8fd12000\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u5370\u3001\u4e2d\u3001\u7f8e\u4e09\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u4f9d\u6b21\u5360\u636e\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd1100\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u201c\u4e00\u5bb6\u72ec\u5927\u201d\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u8f83\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u6839\u636eMaddison\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\u8fd12000\u5e74\u6765\uff08\u53e4\uff09\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u957f\u671f\u9065\u9065\u9886\u5148\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u300219\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e4b\u524d\u4e24\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u5360\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u59cb\u7ec8\u4fdd\u6301\u572850%\u5de6\u53f3\u300218\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u65f6\u671f\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u8981\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4f46\u4e24\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u76f8\u5dee\u4e0d\u5927\uff1b18\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u5f00\u59cb\u5927\u5e45\u8d85\u8fc7\u5370\u5ea6\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u8fd1\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u7684\u5e26\u52a8\u4e0b\u7eb7\u7eb7\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u73b0\u4ee3\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u8fdb\u516520\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4e8c\u6218\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u5f00\u59cb\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u4e0e\u4e4b\u524d\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c20\u4e16\u7eaa\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u957f\u671f\u8fdc\u8fdc\u9886\u5148\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u51b7\u6218\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6309\u7167Maddison\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u4e5f\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e86\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u4e09\u500d\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u81ea20\u4e16\u7eaa\u4e2d\u53f6\u4ee5\u540e\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u7b49\uff09 \u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8ffd\u8d76\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u82cf\u8054\uff09\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u5f00\u59cb\u7f29\u5c0f\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8fd1\u51e0\u767e\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u5f3a\u8c03\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u5f80\u5f80\u4e0e\u5176\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u5c55\u73b0\u7684\u7efc\u5408\u5b9e\u529b\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u524d\u9762\u7684\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u4ece\u77ed\u671f\u5371\u673a\u6062\u590d\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u6765\u770b\uff0c \u8fd8\u662f\u4ece\u957f\u671f\u5386\u53f2\u5927\u53d8\u9769\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u5168\u7403\u90fd\u5904\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u53ca\u5176\u683c\u5c40\u53d8\u52a8\u7684\u7279\u6b8a\u65f6\u671f\u3002\u672c\u62a5\u544a\u4ee5\u4e0b\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5c06\u4ee5\u6b64\u4e3a\u8d77\u70b9\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5ba2\u89c2\u53d8\u5316\u53ca\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u3001\u89c4\u5f8b\u5bf92035\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u53ca\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u4e88\u4ee5\u5c55\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u5c06\u5206\u6790\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u548c\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6839\u672c\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">1.\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u957f\u5468\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c \u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b63\u5904\u5728\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u957f\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\u79ef\u84c4\u589e\u957f\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u957f\u671f\u89c6\u89d2\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u660e\u663e\u5468\u671f\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u718a\u5f7c\u7279\u7efc\u5408\u4e86\u524d\u671f\u7684\u591a\u79cd\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\uff0c \u4ece\u521b\u65b0\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7e41\u8363\u8870\u9000\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u89d2\u5ea6\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5546\u4e1a\u5468\u671f\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3a\u957f\u671f\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7406\u89e3\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8d70\u52bf\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u957f\u5468\u671f\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u90fd\u6298\u5c04\u51fa\u91cd\u5927\u79d1\u6280\u9769\u547d\u4e0d\u540c\u9636\u6bb5\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5468\u671f\u6027\u7e41\u8363\u90fd\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u5bf9\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u9010\u6e10\u8017\u5c3d\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u8fdb\u5165\u8870\u9000\u548c\u8c03\u6574\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684200\u4f59\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ecf\u5386\u4e94\u4e2a\u5206\u522b\u4ee5\u84b8\u6c7d\u673a\u3001\u94c1\u8def\u3001\u7535\u529b\u3001\u6c7d\u8f66\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fe1\u606f\u901a\u8baf\u7b49\u4e3a\u9636\u6bb5\u6027\u663e\u8457\u6280\u672f\u7279\u5f81\u7684\u957f\u5468\u671f\u300220\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u901a\u8baf\u6280\u672f\u7684\u666e\u53ca\u5e26\u52a8\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e94\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u5468\u671f\u7684\u4ea7\u751f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e5f\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u957f\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\u7684\u7e41\u8363\u9636\u6bb5\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u8f83\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u9ad8\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u901f\u9ad8\u8fbe3.5%\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4fe1\u606f\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u7684\u53d1\u6e90\u5730\u5de9\u56fa\u4e86\u5176\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u9738\u4e3b\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u8bb8\u591a\u5b66\u8005\u628a2008\u5e74\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u5f53\u6210\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u5468\u671f\u7684\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u9884\u793a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5904\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e24\u4e2a\u957f\u5468\u671f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8870\u9000\u548c\u8c03\u6574\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u4ee5\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u65b0\u6750\u6599\u3001\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u30013D\u6253\u5370\u7b49\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u6b63\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u4f46\u4ece\u957f\u5468\u671f\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6765\u770b\uff0c \u672a\u676515-20\u5e74\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u9886\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5165\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u5468\u671f\u7684\u7e41\u8363\u9636\u6bb5\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u589e\u901f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3001\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6570\u5b57\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d21\u732e\u7684\u6d4b\u5ea6\u5f80\u5f80\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u901f\u672a\u5fc5\u80fd\u6062\u590d\u81f3\u5386\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">2.\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6280\u672f\/\u4ea7\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u53d8\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ade\u4e89\u548c\u5206\u5de5\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u56f4\u7ed5\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u5c06\u65e5\u8d8b\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ee5\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u3001\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u6280\u672f\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u30013D\u6253\u5370\u3001\u65b0\u578b\u6750\u6599\u7b49\u4e3a\u5178\u578b\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\uff08\u4ea7\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\uff09 \u6b63\u5728\u5feb\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u800c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u3001\u65b0\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u65b0\u4e1a\u6001\u3001\u65b0\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e0d\u65ad\u5174\u8d77\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u91cd\u5851\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ade\u4e89\u548c\u5206\u5de5\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u5c06\u6539\u53d8\u5404\u56fd\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5206\u5de5\u6a21\u5f0f\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u548c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u6b63\u5728\u88ab\u5e94\u7528\u5230\u8bb8\u591a\u884c\u4e1a\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u9996\u5f53\u5176\u51b2\u7684\u662f\u4f4e\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u8f6c\u578b\u751a\u81f3\u5931\u4e1a\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002\u66f4\u4e3a\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u5c06\u6539\u53d8\u5404\u56fd\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u81ea\u52a8\u5316\u548c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u5c06\u6539\u53d8\u8fc7\u53bb\u7531\u4eba\u529b\u6210\u672c\u4f18\u52bf\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u5168\u7403\u5206\u5de5\u6a21\u5f0f\u548c\u683c\u5c40\u3002\u4e8c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u95e8\u69db\u5c06\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f20\u7edf\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u4ea4\u901a\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u901a\u8baf\u6280\u672f\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c2\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5168\u7403\u5206\u5de5\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c \u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u53c2\u4e0e\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6df1\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u843d\u540e\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u5f00\u59cb\u53c2\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5206\u5de5\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u65b0\u6280\u672f\uff08\u5982\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u7b49\uff09\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u4ea7\u4e1a\u6280\u672f\u542b\u91cf\u4e0d\u65ad\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u8ba9\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u53c2\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u5206\u5de5\uff0c \u56f4\u7ed5\u4f20\u7edf\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4f20\u7edf\u4ea7\u4e1a\u548c\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u7684\u4f4e\u6280\u672f\u73af\u8282\u5728\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u4e2d\u83b7\u5229\u5c06\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4f4e\u3002\u4e09\u662f\u4fe1\u606f\u9769\u547d\u52a0\u5feb\u4e86\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6269\u6563\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0e\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u95e8\u69db\u4e0d\u65ad\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u56f4\u7ed5\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u66f4\u52a0\u6fc0\u70c8\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u6293\u4f4f\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6280\u672f\/ \u4ea7\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u673a\u9047\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5404\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5747\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u6218\u7565\uff0c \u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u5de5\u4e1a4.0\u201d\u6218\u7565\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5236\u9020\u521b\u65b0\u7f51\u7edc\u8ba1\u5212\uff08NNMI\uff09\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u6218\u7565\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u90202025\u201d\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u201c\u793e\u4f1a5.0\u201d \u6218\u7565\u76f8\u7ee7\u63a8\u51fa\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u7740\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u3001\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u3001\u673a\u5668\u4eba\u6280\u672f\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u30013D \u6253\u5370\u3001\u65b0\u6750\u6599\u7b49\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u4ea7\u4e1a\u548c\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u5c55\u5f00\u4e86\u521b\u65b0\u7ade\u4e89\u3002\u56db\u662f\u6570\u636e\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u793e\u4f1a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u4e00\u9879\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u65b0\u7684\u6295\u5165\u548c\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002\u968f\u7740\u6570\u5b57\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u4fe1\u606f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u91cf\u5c06\u8fc5\u901f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u6570\u636e\u8d44\u6e90\u4e5f\u6210\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u6d3b\u52a8\uff08\u5982\u793e\u4f1a\u6cbb\u7406\uff09\u4e2d\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5176\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u53d8\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u6d88\u8d39\u3001\u4ea4\u6613\u3001\u4e92\u52a8\u3001\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u5de5\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u7531\u4e8e\u6570\u5b57\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u7279\u6b8a\u6027\uff0c\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u6d4b\u5ea6\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e0b\uff0c\u5176\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u5f80\u5f80\u5b58\u5728\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c \u8fd9\u4e5f\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6570\u5b57\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">3 . \u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u7684\u653e\u7f13\u548c\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u52a0\u5267\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u62d6\u7d2f\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u90e8\u5206\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u91cf\u53ca\u5176\u7ed3\u6784\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u5c06\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u548c\u4e0d\u540c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4f9b\u7ed9\u3001\u50a8\u84c4\u3001\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u6295\u8d44\u4ee5\u53ca\u521b\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u4e0d\u8003\u8651\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u95f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ec5\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u5e26\u52a8\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u589e\u957f\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u4e5f\u8fbe\u523030%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u548c\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u5927\u5e45\u653e\u7f13\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u4e24\u5927\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u91cf\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u8d8b\u7f13\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u5c06\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u53f8\uff08U N P D\uff0c 2 0 1 7\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u75312015 \u5e74\u768473.5\u4ebf\u589e\u957f\u81f32035\u5e74\u768488.9\u4ebf\u548c2050\u5e74\u768497.7\u4ebf\u3002\u867d\u7136\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u91cf\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u81ea\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u53f8\uff08UNPD\uff0c2017\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u7531\u8fc7\u53bb30\u5e74\u8fd11.5%\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u9010\u6e10\u4e0b\u6ed1\u5230\u5e74\u57471%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c2020-2035\u5e74\u548c2035-2050 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u5206\u522b\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u5e74\u57470.88%\u548c0.63%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c \u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5e74\u9f84\u7ed3\u6784\u4e5f\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7740\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u8001\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u5c06\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u8f6c\u6298\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8001\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\uff086 5 \u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff09\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5c06\u75312015 \u5e74\u76848.3%\u4e0a\u5347\u52302035\u5e74\u768413.0% \u548c2050\u5e74\u768415.8%\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u4e5f\u5c06\u75312015\u5e74\u768452.5%\u9010\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\u52302035\u5e74\u768455.7%\u548c2050\u5e74\u768459.1%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5c31\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u91cf\u53d8\u5316\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u4e2d\u5168\u7403\u591a\u6570\u533a\u57df\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u91cf\u8fd8\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5bf9\u6bd4\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u8f83\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\uff1a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u4eba\u53e3\u90fd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u800c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u5c06\u8f83\u5feb\u63a5\u8fd1\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u4ecd\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u8fbe\u52300.9%\uff0c\u800c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u4ec5\u4e3a0.87%\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u5c31\u5404\u5927\u533a\u57df\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u975e\u6d32\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u6700\u5feb\uff0c\u5927\u6d0b\u6d32\uff0c\u62c9\u7f8e\u3001\u4e9a\u6d32\u4ee5\u53ca\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u5c06\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u6b27\u6d32\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u57282020\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u5f00\u59cb\u51fa\u73b0\u8d1f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u9664\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5927\u6d32\u672a\u6765\u4eba\u53e3\u4ecd\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u589e\u957f\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u975e\u6d32\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u800c\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u51fa\u73b0\u840e\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u672a\u6765\u4e0d\u540c\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5e74\u9f84\u7ed3\u6784\u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u5dee\u5f02\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u603b\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u5c06\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u5c06\u4ece2005\u5e74\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u70b947.5%\uff0c\u5feb\u901f\u5730\u4e0a\u5347\u52302035\u5e74\u548c2050\u5e74\u768465.8%\u548c72.8%\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u603b\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u6b63\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5c06\u7a0d\u6709\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u5c06\u75312015\u5e74\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u503c52.7% \u4e0a\u5347\u52302035\u5e74\u548c2050\u5e74\u768454.2% \u548c57.2%\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6240\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u4e25\u5cfb\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d7\u5230\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7684\u62d6\u7d2f\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e0d\u5982\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u201c\u672a\u5bcc\u5148\u8001\u201d\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">4.\u8fd1\u671f\u6765\u770b\u5168\u7403\u5316\u9762\u4e34\u8bf8\u591a\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6df1\u5316\u65e2\u6709\u6761\u4ef6\u4e5f\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5c3d\u7ba1\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u81f3\u4eca\u5df2\u670910 \u4e4b\u4e45\uff0c\u4f46\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u7684\u201c\u540e\u9057\u75c7\u201d\u8fdf\u8fdf\u96be\u4ee5\u6d88\u9664\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u897f\u65b9\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdf\u8fdf\u96be\u4ee5\u6062\u590d\uff0c \u8fd9\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u5185\u90e8\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u77db\u76fe\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u66b4\u9732\uff0c\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u3001\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e0d\u65ad\u76db\u884c\u30022016\u5e746\u670824 \u65e5\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e3e\u884c\u9000\u6b27\u516c\u6295\uff0c\u6295\u7968\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a52%\u7684\u6295\u7968\u8005\u652f\u6301\u201c\u8131\u6b27\u201d\uff0c \u8fd9\u6210\u4e3a\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u5168\u7403\u5316\u9006\u8f6c\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u9ad8\u6f6e\u3002\u66f4\u6709\u751a\u8005\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e00\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0a\u53f0\u4e4b\u540e\u5927\u529b\u63a8\u884c\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f18\u5148\u6218\u7565\u201d\uff0c\u5b9e\u65bd\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u4fdd\u62a4\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u63a8\u5d07\u53cc\u8fb9\u8c08\u5224\uff0c \u6311\u8d77\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u88ab\u8499\u4e0a\u4e86\u4e00\u5c42\u539a\u539a\u7684\u9634\u5f71\uff0c \u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6cbb\u7406\u9762\u4e34\u4e25\u5cfb\u6311\u6218\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u4e00\u76f4\u8f83\u4e3a\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u6536\u5165\u5f39\u6027\uff08\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u4e0eGDP\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\uff09\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u7531\u4e4b\u524d\u76842\u5de6\u53f3\u4e0b\u964d\u81f3\u8fd1\u4e9b\u5e74\u76841\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u5177\u5907\u6df1\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6df1\u5316\u7684\u957f\u671f\u8d8b\u52bf\u96be\u4ee5\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u5c31\u53d1\u5c55\u57fa\u7840\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4fe1\u606f\u6280\u672f\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5206\u5de5\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u4e0d\u65ad\u7ec6\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u56fd\u5bb6\u95f4\u8d38\u6613\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u7a7a\u95f4\u6210\u672c\u7684\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u63a8\u8fdb\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7269\u8d28\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u5c31\u53d1\u5c55\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u5168\u7403\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u95ee\u9898\u4e0d\u65ad\u7a81\u663e\uff0c\u6d89\u53ca\u6c14\u5019\u3001\u53cd\u6050\u3001\u7f51\u7edc\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u8de8\u5883\u7535\u5546\u7b49\u8bf8\u591a\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5df2\u975e\u5355\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6240\u80fd\u5e94\u5bf9\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u4f9d\u9760\u5168\u7403\u7684\u901a\u529b\u534f\u4f5c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u66f4\u9ad8\u3001\u66f4\u7d27\u8feb\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u201c\u591a\u6781\u5316\u201d\u683c\u5c40\u8d8a\u52a0\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u6cbb\u7406\u5021\u8bae\u3001\u673a\u6784\u548c\u673a\u5236\u4e0d\u65ad\u6d8c\u73b0\uff08G20\u3001\u4e9a\u6d32\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\u7b49\uff09\uff0c\u591a\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u8c08\u5224\u505c\u6ede\u4e0d\u524d\u5f62\u52bf\u4e0b\u52a0\u5f3a\u533a\u57df\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u610f\u613f\u660e\u663e\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u300a\u533a\u57df\u5168\u9762\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\uff08R C E P\uff09\u8c08\u5224\u6b63\u5728\u7a33\u6b65\u5411\u524d\u63a8\u8fdb\uff0c\u5728\u6838\u5fc3\u9886\u57df\u5df2\u8fdb\u5165\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u8c08\u5224\u9636\u6bb5\uff1b\u5982\u6b27\u76df\uff0d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7b7e\u7f72\u7efc\u5408\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u5b9a\uff08C E T A\uff09\u5e76\u5df2\u83b7\u6b27\u6d32\u8bae\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u4f1a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8d77\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">5.\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u9014\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u8fc7\u53bb\u662f\u3001\u672a\u6765\u4e5f\u5c06\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u76ee\u524d\u5168\u7403\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u4f9d\u7136\u5de8\u5927\u30021950\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u53ea\u6709\u4e0d\u8db330%\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\uff1b\u800c2016 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u57ce\u5e02\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5df2\u8fbe\u523054.3%\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c \u52302035\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u7387\u5c06\u8fbe\u523061.7%\uff0c\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u7387\u5c06\u8fbe\u523066.4%\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u672a\u676520 \u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5c06\u6709\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\u4ece\u519c\u6751\u8f6c\u79fb\u81f3\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5168\u7403\u8d44\u6e90\u8981\u7d20\u914d\u7f6e\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4f18\u5316\u3002\u5c31\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5927\u6d32\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u519c\u6751\u4eba\u53e3\u4ecd\u5360\u591a\u6570\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u6700\u5927\uff1b\u800c\u5317\u7f8e\u6d32\u3001\u62c9\u4e01\u7f8e\u6d32\u548c\u52a0\u52d2\u6bd4\u5730\u533a\u3001\u6b27\u6d32\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u6d0b\u6d32\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5df2\u7ecf\u5904\u4e8e\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u660e\u663e\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u3002\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c \u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u7387\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u5206\u522b\u8fbe\u523056%\u548c64%\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u7387\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f1%\u5de6\u53f3\uff1b\u9884\u8ba1\u52302050\u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u4f1a\u518d\u589e\u52a025\u4ebf\u4eba\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u8fd190%\u7684\u589e\u957f\u90fd\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u3002\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u975e\u6d32\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u65b0\u589e\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u4eba\u53e3\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5c11\u6570\u51e0\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4ece\u65b0\u589e\u57ce\u5e02\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5206\u5e03\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672a\u676530\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u740320\u4ebf\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u65b0\u589e\u57ce\u5e02\u4eba\u53e3\u4e2d\uff0c37%\u5c06\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u5c3c\u65e5\u5229\u4e9a\u4e09\u56fd\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5370\u5ea6\u57ce\u5e02\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u6700\u591a\uff0c\u5c06\u8fbe4.04\u4ebf\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5c3c\u65e5\u5229\u4e9a\u5c06\u5206\u522b\u589e\u52a02.92\u4ebf\u548c2.12\u4ebf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u7136\u800c\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5b58\u5728\u7edd\u5bf9\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u6f5c\u529b\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u4e24\u5927\u6d32\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c \u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u62c9\u7f8e\u7b49\u5730\u533a\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u8d77\u5230\u62c9\u52a8\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u672a\u6765\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u6f5c\u529b\u80fd\u5426\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">6.\u65e5\u76ca\u52a0\u91cd\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u95ee\u9898\u5c06\u65e5\u76ca\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7d27\u8feb\u7ea6\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u603b\u91cf\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\u662f\u5145\u8db3\u7684\uff0c \u7279\u522b\u662f\u968f\u7740\u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u6280\u672f\u7684\u7a81\u7834\uff0c \u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u603b\u91cf\u4f9b\u7ed9\u5c06\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u5f88\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7ea6\u675f\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u4f9b\u6c42\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0d\u5747\u8861\u3001\u65b0\u65e7\u6280\u672f\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f7f\u7528\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u548c\u73af\u5883\u7834\u574f\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u5f71\u54cd\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u5206\u5e03\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4e00\u662f\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u5c06\u6539\u53d8\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u7ed9\u548c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5206\u5de5\u7684\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u65b0\u65e7\u6280\u672f\u4e3b\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u4f7f\u5f97\u8bb8\u591a\u975e\u5e38\u89c4\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u5229\u7528\u6210\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002\u800c\u975e\u5e38\u89c4\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u5206\u5e03\u4e0e\u5e38\u89c4\u80fd\u6e90\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u7ed9\u548c\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5206\u5de5\u7684\u683c\u5c40\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6700\u4e3a\u5178\u578b\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u9875\u5ca9\u6c14\u6280\u672f\u7684\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u4f9b\u7ed9\u683c\u5c40\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u81ea\u7ed9\u80fd\u529b\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u4e5f\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7f72\uff08EIA\uff09\u5728\u300a2018\u5e74\u5ea6\u80fd\u6e90\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u52302022 \u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u7531\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7684\u51c0\u8fdb\u53e3\u56fd\u53d8\u4e3a\u51c0\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\uff0c\u8f83\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u63d0\u524d4\u5e74\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u672a\u6765\u7c7b\u4f3c\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u5c06\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6539\u53d8\u5168\u7403\u4e0d\u540c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u8d44\u6e90\u7980\u8d4b\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u4f20\u7edf\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u8d44\u6e90\u7980\u8d4b\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5206\u5de5\u683c\u5c40\u4e5f\u5c06\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u91cd\u5927\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u65b0\u65e7\u6280\u672f\u4e4b\u95f4\u4ea7\u751f\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c06\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u589e\u957f\u4ea7\u751f\u91cd\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c \u968f\u7740\u5206\u5e03\u5f0f\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u573a\u751a\u81f3\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u7834\u88c2\uff0c \u5f53\u5730\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u573a\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u7531\u8be5\u56fd\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u6765\u4f9b\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4e8c\u662f\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7d27\u8feb\u7ea6\u675f\u3002\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08IPCC\uff09\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u62a5\u544a\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u201c\u78b3\u9884\u7b97\u201d\uff08\u5373\u80fd\u5c06\u6e29\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\u63a7\u5236\u57282\u2103\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\uff09\u4e3a1\u4e07\u4ebf\u5428\uff083.7\u4e07\u4ebf\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\uff09\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u5927\u7ea6\u5df2\u7ecf\u7528\u6389\u4e86\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd8\u80fd\u6392\u653e\u5927\u7ea61.350 \u4e07\u4ebf\u5428-1.985\u4e07\u4ebf\u5428\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u3002\u6839\u636eBP\u7684\u63a8\u7b97\uff0c2016\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u8fbe\u5230354\u4ebf\u5428\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u5373\u4fbf\u5168\u7403\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u91cf\u4e0d\u589e\u957f\uff0c \u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u7b97\u4e5f\u53ea\u80fd\u4f7f\u752850\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6309\u7167\u8fc7\u53bb50\u4f59\u5e74\u5e73\u57472.3%\u7684\u589e\u901f\u63a8\u7b97\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u7b97\u53ea\u80fd\u4f7f\u752835\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u4f7f\u7528\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u6b63\u65e5\u76ca\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u5065\u5eb7\uff0c\u63a7\u5236\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u538b\u529b\u65e5\u6e10\u589e\u5927\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u201c\u57ce\u5e02\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u201d\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u53ea\u670912%\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u7b26\u5408\u4e16\u536b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5065\u5eb7\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6807\u81f3\u5c11\u8d85\u8fc7\u8be5\u6807\u51c62.5\u500d\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6570\u91cf\u7ea6\u5360\u5168\u7403\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">7.\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6210\u4e3a\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5c06\u4ece\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u88ab\u52a8\u5f71\u54cd\u5411\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u4e3b\u52a8\u5f71\u54cd\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u4e3b\u8981\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u4e09\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u4e00\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u7684\u589e\u5927\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8f6c\u578b\u5c06\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u52bf\u3002\u636e\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u6570\u636e\u6d4b\u7b97\uff0c2012\u5e74\u81f32016\u5e74\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u8d21\u732e\u7387\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a10%\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u4e3a8%\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e3a2%\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fbe34%\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u3001\u6b27\u3001\u65e5\u8d21\u732e\u4e4b\u548c\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u5927\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u610f\u5473\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u5c06\u76f4\u63a5\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u5bf9\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u7e41\u8363\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u66f4\u52a0\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u878d\u5165\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\uff0c\u4fc3\u6210\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u53e3\u8d85\u9884\u671f\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u7814\u7a76\uff08Constantinescu et. al\uff0c2016\uff1b Sanjay Kalra\uff0c2016\uff09\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u653e\u7f13\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u3001\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u8f6c\u578b\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4ef7\u503c\u94fe\u7684\u6500\u5347\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5bf9\u5916\u6295\u8d44\u4e5f\u5df2\u7a33\u5c45\u4e16\u754c\u524d\u5217\u30022012\u5e74\u81f32016\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u6d41\u91cf\u7d2f\u8ba16600\u591a\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c \u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f22.3%\uff0c\u7531\u5168\u7403\u7b2c3\u4f4d\u5347\u81f3\u7b2c2\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\uff1b\u5bf9\u5916\u6295\u8d44\u5b58\u91cf\u5168\u7403\u6392\u540d\u7531\u7b2c13\u4f4d\u4e0a\u5347\u81f3\u7b2c6 \u4f4d\uff0c\u5360\u5168\u7403\u5b58\u91cf\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u75312.3%\u63d0\u5347\u81f35.2%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u90fd\u8868\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55\u5c06\u8d77\u7740\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u96be\u4ee5\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4e8c\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5316\u672a\u6765\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u7ef4\u62a4\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u4e0e\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u5206\u88c2\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e3b\u5f20\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u59cb\u7ec8\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u63a8\u52a8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5168\u7403\u5316\u671d\u7740\u5747\u8861\u666e\u60e0\u5171\u8d62\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u53d1\u5c55\u30022017\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bba\u575b\u5e74\u4f1a\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u91cd\u7533\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8981\u575a\u5b9a\u4e0d\u79fb\u53d1\u5c55\u5168\u7403\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u5728\u5f00\u653e\u4e2d\u63a8\u52a8\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u81ea\u7531\u5316\u4fbf\u5229\u5316\uff0c\u65d7\u5e1c\u9c9c\u660e\u53cd\u5bf9\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u201d\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u79ef\u6781\u63a8\u8fdb\u4e9a\u592a\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u533a\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u533a\u57df\u5168\u9762\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u534f\u5b9a\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u9762\u5411\u5168\u7403\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u533a\u7f51\u7edc\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\u52a0\u5feb\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u6cbf\u7ebf\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5171\u540c\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u4e0e\u5e03\u9c81\u585e\u5c14\u548c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e00\u9053\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u5173\u952e\u51b3\u7b56\u70b9\u3002\u4e09\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u5b8c\u5584\u548c\u6539\u9769\u5168\u7403\u6cbb\u7406\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u5b8c\u5584\u548c\u6539\u9769\u5168\u7403\u6cbb\u7406\u4f53\u7cfb\u65e5\u8d8b\u7d27\u8feb\u3002\u9762\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u5c40\u9762\uff0c \u4e2d\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5021\u8bae\u548c\u201c\u4eba\u7c7b\u547d\u8fd0\u5171\u540c\u4f53\u201d\u7406\u5ff5\uff0c\u5bf9\u5de9\u56fa\u548c\u5b8c\u5584\u73b0\u6709\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6cbb\u7406\u4f53\u7cfb\u8d21\u732e\u4e86\u5148\u8fdb\u7406\u5ff5\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u667a\u6167\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u8fd9\u65e0\u7591\u7ed9\u9762\u4e34\u201c\u91d1\u5fb7\u5c14\u4f2f\u683c\u9677\u9631\u201d\u7684\u5f53\u4eca\u4e16\u754c\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e00\u80a1\u201c\u6e05\u6d41\u201d\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd8\u5728\u7528\u5b9e\u9645\u884c\u52a8\u8df5\u884c\u8fd9\u4e00\u7406\u5ff5\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u9000\u51fa\u4e86\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4ecd\u7136\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5c65\u884c\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u51cf\u6392\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u8d77\u8bbe\u7acb\u4e9a\u6d32\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u6295\u8d44\u94f6\u884c\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u751f\u4ea7\u6027\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e9a\u6d32\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u533a\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5408\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u540e\u53d1\u5d1b\u8d77\u56fd\u5fc5\u7136\u4f1a\u5f15\u8d77\u5148\u53d1\u5b88\u6210\u56fd\u7684\u8b66\u60d5\uff0c\u8fd1\u4e9b\u5e74\u4e00\u4e9b\u897f\u65b9\u5b66\u8005\u9891\u9891\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u201d\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5ba2\u89c2\u5730\u770b\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u80fd\u591f\u907f\u514d\u201c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u201d\u6709\u8bf8\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5386\u53f2\u4e2d\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u82e6\u96be\u4f7f\u5f97\u5404\u56fd\u90fd\u5c3d\u91cf\u907f\u514d\u4f7f\u7528\u6b66\u529b\u800c\u91c7\u53d6\u534f\u5546\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u89e3\u51b3\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u6838\u5a01\u6151\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u66f4\u4f7f\u5f97\u56fd\u5bb6\u5fc5\u987b\u4fdd\u6301\u7406\u6027\u4e0d\u81f3\u4e8e\u8d70\u5411\u5171\u540c\u706d\u4ea1\uff1b\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u6df1\u5316\u53d1\u5c55\u4f7f\u5f97\u5404\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u90fd\u6df1\u5ea6\u6346\u7ed1\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u5927\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\u7a0b\u5ea6\u76f8\u5bf9\u66f4\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u548c\u77db\u76fe\u7ec8\u7a76\u8fd8\u662f\u5c0f\u4e8e\u53cc\u65b9\u7684\u5171\u540c\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5b58\u5728\u7ade\u4e89\u4e5f\u4e0d\u81f3\u4e8e\u6f14\u5316\u6210\u654c\u5bf9\uff1b\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u56fd\u5185\u793e\u4f1a\u73af\u5883\u65e9\u5df2\u4e0d\u662f\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u666f\u8c61\uff0c \u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u56fd\u9645\u6cd5\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\u80fd\u591f\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u4ea7\u751f\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u7ea6\u675f\u529b\uff0c \u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u529b\u91cf\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4e24\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u8fdb\u884c\u8c03\u6574\u548c\u7ea0\u504f\u3002\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u603b\u4e66\u8bb0\u6240\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u672c\u65e0\u201c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u201d\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u6784\u5efa\u65b0\u578b\u5927\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8d70\u52bf\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u672a\u6765\u9884\u671f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u8fd9\u91cc\u91c7\u7528\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u5168\u7403\u53ef\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e00\u822c\u5747\u8861\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7ed3\u5408\u524d\u9762\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790\uff0c \u4ece\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u7ed9\u51fa\u5168\u7403\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">1 . \u672a\u67652 0\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u96be\u4ee5\u8fbe\u5230\u4e4b\u524d\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u4eba\u53e3\u53ca\u5176\u5e74\u9f84\u7ed3\u6784\u6765\u770b\uff0c \u672a\u676520\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u4f1a\u653e\u6162\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u7531\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u5e74\u57471.5%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8fc5\u901f\u964d\u81f31%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff1b\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u7387\u5c06\u4e00\u6539\u8fc7\u53bb50\u5e74\u6765\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c \u7531\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u8f6c\u4e3a\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u7387\u75312015\u5e74\u768452.3%\u4e0a\u5347\u52302035\u5e74\u768455.7%\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u7387\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\u5c06\u7ed9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5e26\u6765\u91cd\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u7387\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u5c06\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\u72b6\u51b5\uff0c\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u7387\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u610f\u5473\u7740\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u91cd\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5728\u52b3\u52a8\u53c2\u4e0e\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\u6bd4\u7387\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u603b\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u589e\u957f\u4e0d\u80fd\u62b5\u6d88\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u4e0d\u5229\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5168\u7403\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\u7edd\u5bf9\u91cf\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u53ef\u4ee5\u62b5\u6d88\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5f97\u5168\u7403\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u653e\u6162\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u7531\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5e74\u57471.0%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8fc5\u901f\u964d\u81f32035\u5e74\u5c06\u4e3a0.6%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u524d\u9762\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5468\u671f\u7684\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u6240\u63d0\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u91cd\u5927\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5168\u7403\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u65b9\u5174\u672a\u827e\uff0c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u751f\u7269\u6280\u672f\u7b49\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u4e0d\u65ad\u6d8c\u73b0\uff0c\u90fd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4fc3\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8fdb\u5165\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u589e\u957f\u671f\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u65b0\u91cd\u5927\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u548c\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4e2a\u5468\u671f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6765\u770b\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u6b63\u5904\u5728\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u5468\u671f\u4e2d\u7684\u8870\u9000\u548c\u8c03\u6574\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4ece\u957f\u671f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u6280\u672f\u9769\u65b0\u7ec8\u5c06\u5e26\u9886\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6b65\u5165\u6b63\u8f68\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fd9\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\u4f55\u65f6\u5230\u6765\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u968f\u7740\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fdb\u5165\u6210\u719f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c \u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ece\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u8f6c\u5411\u670d\u52a1\u4e1a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u901a\u8fc7\u8ffd\u8d76\u5b9e\u73b0\u6280\u672f\u5feb\u901f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5c11\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5448\u73b0\u4e0b\u6ed1\u6001\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u8d44\u672c\u79ef\u7d2f\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u7684\u9010\u6e10\u6d88\u8017\u6b86\u5c3d\uff0c\u5c06\u4f7f\u5f97\u5168\u7403\u50a8\u84c4\u7387\u5448\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7269\u8d28\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\u5c06\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u7387\u7279\u522b\u662f\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u800c\u9010\u6e10\u653e\u6162\u901f\u5ea6\u3002Grigoli\u7b49\u4eba\uff082014\uff09\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8001\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u50a8\u84c4\u7387\u5c06\u4e0b\u964d0.99 \u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u6839\u636e\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u8001\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u5c06\u4ece\u76ee\u524d\u768412.6%\u4e0a\u5347\u81f32035\u5e7420.2%\u3002\u4e0e\u7269\u8d28\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u79ef\u7d2f\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5c45\u6c11\u7684\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8d2b\u56f0\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e5f\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5f97\u5404\u56fd\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u652f\u6301\u6559\u80b2\u4e8b\u4e1a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u5168\u7403\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u79ef\u7d2f\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5c06\u62b5\u6d88\u7269\u8d28\u8d44\u672c\u79ef\u7d2f\u901f\u5ea6\u653e\u7f13\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u4e0d\u5229\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u9645\u673a\u6784\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728\u4e0d\u6309PPP\u52a0\u6743\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u4f4e\u4e8e3%\uff0c\u8fd9\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5371\u673a\u4e4b\u524d20\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\uff083.1%\uff09\u3002\u5982\u666e\u534e\u6c38\u9053\uff08PWC\uff0c 2017\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c2020-2030\u5e74\u548c2030\u2014 2040\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5206\u522b\u4e3a2.7%\u548c2.5%\uff1b\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u4f01\u4e1a\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\uff08Conference Board\uff0c2018\uff09\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c2018-2022\u5e74\u548c2023-2027\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5206\u522b\u4e3a3.0% \u548c2.8%\uff1b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4eba\u667a\u5e93\uff082015\uff09\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c2020\u20142030\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u4ec5\u4e3a2.5%\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u5206\u6790\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u90fd\u663e\u793a\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u5448\u73b0\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7efc\u5408\u524d\u9762\u7684\u5b9a\u6027\u5206\u6790\u53ca\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u6a21\u62df\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c \u672c\u6587\u5206\u6790\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u672a\u676515-20\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5e73\u5747\u901f\u5ea6\u4e3a2.6%\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6574\u4f53\u5448\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u53d1\u8fbe\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u653e\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u4f7f\u5f97\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c2015-2035\u5e74\u95f4\u5e74\u5747\u4e0b\u964d0.3%\uff1b\u52302035\u5e74\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u6bd4\u73b0\u5728\u4e0b\u964d5.5%\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5c06\u5feb\u901f\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u52302035\u5e7465\u5c81\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u91cd\u5c06\u6bd4\u73b0\u5728\u63d0\u9ad86\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u548c\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u63d0\u5347\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4f7f\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f1a\u5bf9\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u50a8\u84c4\u7387\u3001\u516c\u5171\u652f\u51fa\u3001\u521b\u65b0\u80fd\u529b\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u5e26\u6765\u4e0d\u5229\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f71\u54cd\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u57fa\u7840\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u7814\u53d1\u6295\u5165\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5f3a\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u4f46\u5728\u79d1\u6280\u7ade\u4e89\u65b9\u9762\u5c06\u4f1a\u66f4\u52a0\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5728\u4eba\u624d\u8de8\u56fd\u6d41\u52a8\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e5f\u5c06\u96be\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u6709\u5229\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u7efc\u5408\u524d\u9762\u7684\u5b9a\u6027\u5206\u6790\u53ca\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6a21\u62df\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9884\u671f2020-2035 \u5e74\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u4f4e\u4e8e2%\uff0c\u5927\u7ea6\u57281.7%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u8981\u4f4e\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb50\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4ece\u6b27\u76df\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b49\u4e3b\u8981\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u524d\u666f\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u5171\u6027\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u548c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u4f9b\u7ed9\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u6210\u4e3a\u62d6\u7d2f\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u533a\u57df\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5f71\u54cd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u4f9b\u7ed9\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f1a\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u5171\u652f\u51fa\u63d0\u51fa\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u91cd\u5176\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u52a1\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u5176\u8d44\u672c\u79ef\u7d2f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u3002\u867d\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5de5\u4f5c\u5e74\u9650\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u516c\u5171\u652f\u51fa\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u8fdb\u884c\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4ece\u76ee\u524d\u6765\u770b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u533a\u5c1a\u672a\u5b9e\u65bd\u91cd\u5927\u6539\u9769\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c \u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u6c34\u5e73\u5df2\u7ecf\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c \u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u8f83\u5c11\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u4ece\u79d1\u6280\u521b\u65b0\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5f15\u9886\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u6280\u672f\u521b\u65b0\u9886\u57df\u53d6\u5f97\u91cd\u5927\u7a81\u7834\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672a\u676510 \u523020\u5e74\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u6b27\u76df\u5f88\u96be\u4fdd\u6301\u8fc7\u53bb30\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e0e\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u7a0d\u6709\u533a\u522b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u76f8\u540c\u4e4b\u5904\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8981\u4f4e\u4e8e\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u6b27\u76df\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\u629a\u517b\u6bd4\u4e5f\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u8f6c\u6298\u671f\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e5f\u5c06\u5448\u73b0\u8f83\u5feb\u589e\u957f\uff1b \u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u5d1b\u8d77\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u52a8\u6447\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u5ef6\u7eed\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u5927\u91cf\u5438\u5f15\u5916\u6765\u9ad8\u7d20\u8d28\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u6709\u5229\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u5728\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u9769\u547d\u4e2d\u4fdd\u6301\u524d\u6cbf\u4f4d\u7f6e\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u6311\u6218\u3002\u7efc\u5408\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u671f\u672a\u676510\u523020 \u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f88\u96be\u7ef4\u6301\u8fc7\u53bb30\u5e74\u5e73\u57473%\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">2.\u672a\u676515-20\u5e74\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ecd\u6709\u671b\u4fdd\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u9886\u8dd1\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u4e0e\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ef4\u6301\u7ecf\u6d4e\u957f\u671f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u8981\u7d20\u66f4\u52a0\u6709\u5229\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u521b\u9020\u6709\u5229\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\uff09\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u603b\u629a\u517b\u7387\u4ece2015\u5e74\u768458%\u4e0b\u964d\u52302035\u5e74\u768454.0%\uff0c\u4e0b\u964d\u7ea64\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u603b\u629a\u517b\u7387\u5f00\u59cb\u8d8b\u8fd1\u6700\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u52302035\u5e74\u9664\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u7ea2\u5229\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u672a\u6765\u6709\u671b\u5b9e\u73b0\u66f4\u5feb\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8ffd\u8d76\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5f53\u524d\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u65b0\u65f6\u671f\u4fe1\u606f\u6280\u672f\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e3a\u56fd\u9645\u95f4\u6280\u672f\u6269\u6563\u7684\u52a0\u5feb\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8ffd\u8d76\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8ffd\u8d76\u3002\u518d\u6b21\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9ad8\u50a8\u84c4\u7387\u4e3a\u8d44\u672c\u79ef\u7d2f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6709\u529b\u652f\u6491\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u50a8\u84c4\u7387\u8981\u6bd4\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u9ad86-7\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u629a\u517b\u7387\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u79ef\u7d2f\u5c06\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u521b\u9020\u66f4\u52a0\u6709\u5229\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u7684\u76f8\u5bf9\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u56fd\u9645\u8d44\u672c\u548c\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u6d41\u5411\u5c06\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u52a0\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8ffd\u8d76\u8fdb\u7a0b\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u8d44\u91d1\u7528\u4e8e\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u6539\u5584\u548c\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u7684\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u957f\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u7efc\u5408\u524d\u9762\u5206\u6790\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u53ca\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6a21\u62df\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u9884\u671f2020- 2035\u5e74\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u867d\u7136\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u8f83\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u8fbe\u52304.9% \u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u8bd5\u56fe\u627e\u51fa\u672a\u676515-20\u5e74\u5177\u5907\u8f83\u5feb\u589e\u957f\u6f5c\u529b\u4e14\u89c4\u6a21\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u524d\u9762\u5206\u6790\u6240\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u8fd8\u501f\u9274\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u589e\u957f\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5386\u53f2\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u7ecf\u9a8c\u603b\u7ed3\u3002\u8be5\u59d4\u5458\u603b\u7ed3\u4e86\u6301\u7eed\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u4e94\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u662f\uff1a\uff081\uff09\u5145\u5206\u5229\u7528\u4e86\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff1b\uff082\uff09\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\uff1b\uff083\uff09\u79ef\u805a\u4e86\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u50a8\u84c4\u7387\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7387\uff1b\uff084\uff09\u5141\u8bb8\u7531\u5e02\u573a\u6765\u914d\u7f6e\u8d44\u6e90\uff1b\uff085\uff09\u62e5\u6709\u6562\u4f5c\u6562\u4e3a\u3001\u503c\u5f97\u4fe1\u8d56\u548c\u7cbe\u660e\u5f3a\u5e72\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u3002\u4f9d\u636e\u8fd9\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c2016\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u6700\u5927\u768425\u4e2a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u672a\u6765\u7684\u589e\u957f\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e3a\uff1a\u4eba\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u90fd\u8d85\u8fc71\u4ebf\u6216\u57281\u4ebf\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4e14\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u90fd\u6bd4\u8f83\u5927\u3002\u672a\u676515-20\u5e74\u6709\u671b\u4fdd\u63015%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\uff0c\u7b26\u5408\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u67094\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u662f\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u5c3c\u65e5\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u57c3\u53ca\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">3.\u672a\u676520\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u589e\u957f\u53ca\u5176\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\uff081\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u7531\u4e2d\u901f\u8fc7\u6e21\u5e76\u56de\u5f52\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u901f\u30022020\u5e74\u5168\u9762\u5efa\u6210\u5c0f\u5eb7\u793e\u4f1a\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u5c06\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0d\u65ad\u8f6c\u578b\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u4ece\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4fa7\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4eba\u53e3\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5e74\u9f84\u7ed3\u6784\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u8c03\u6574\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u52b3\u52a8\u5e74\u9f84\u4eba\u53e3\u4ecd\u5c06\u5448\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u53d7\u4eba\u53e3\u8001\u9f84\u5316\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u4fdd\u969c\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e0d\u65ad\u5b8c\u5584\u548c\u65b0\u751f\u4ee3\u6d88\u8d39\u7406\u5ff5\u53d8\u5316\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c \u8d44\u672c\u4f9b\u7ed9\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff1b\u968f\u7740\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8f6c\u578b\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u6df1\u5165\u548c\u8ddd\u79bb\u5168\u7403\u6280\u672f\u524d\u6cbf\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u8fd1\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u7ed3\u6784\u8c03\u6574\u548c\u6280\u672f\u6a21\u4eff\u63d0\u5347\u6548\u7387\u7684\u7a7a\u95f4\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff0c\u5168\u8981\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u5c06\u96be\u4ee5\u56de\u5230\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u6574\u4f53\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u672a\u676530\u4f59\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u957f\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u4e2d\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff0c \u7136\u540e\u9010\u6e10\u56de\u5f52\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u901f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u52302035\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7387\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f330%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c \u5168\u8981\u7d20\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u4fdd\u6301\u57282%\u2014 2.5%\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c2020\u20142035\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u8fbe\u52304.8% \u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u671f\u95f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u6a21\u5927\u81f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ffb\u4e00\u756a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\uff082\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u5c06\u9010\u6e10\u8d76\u8d85\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e00\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u5728\u524d\u9762\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\u5c55\u671b\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u7ed3\u5408\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5168\u7403\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5c55\u671b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u8fdb\u884c\u56fd\u9645\u6bd4\u8f83\u3002\u4f9d\u636e\u524d\u9762\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c2020-2035\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u5168\u7403\u548c\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u5e74\u5747\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u5206\u522b\u8fbe\u52302.6% \u548c2.4%\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u5047\u8bbe\u672a\u6765\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u8fd1\u4e9b\u5e74\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u5f53\uff0c\u4e14\u9010\u6e10\u5448\u964d\u4f4e\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u53e6\u5916\u8003\u8651\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8ffd\u8d76\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5c1a\u5728\u7ee7\u7eed\uff0c2020-2035\u5e74\u671f\u95f4\u5047\u8bbe\u4e2d\u56fd\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645\u6c47\u7387\u4fdd\u6301\u5e74\u57471%\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u5347\u503c\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5047\u8bbe\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a8\u65ad\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u540d\u4e49GDP \u5c06\u57282030\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7b2c\u4e00\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff1b\u52302035\u5e74\uff0c \u4e2d\u56fd\u540d\u4e49GDP\u5c06\u8fbe\u523057\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u9ad830%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fdGDP\u5360\u5168\u7403\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5c06\u8fbe\u523023%\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\uff083\uff09\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u6bd4\u91cd\u5c06\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u3002\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u8005\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u5224\u65ad\u6807\u51c6\u5e76\u4e0d\u7edf\u4e00\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5927\u81f4\u5206\u4e24\u7c7b\uff1a\u4e00\u7c7b\u662f\u7edd\u5bf9\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u6bd4\u8f83\u591a\u7684\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u5bb6\u5ead\u4eba\u5747\u6bcf\u5929\u652f\u51fa10-100\u7f8e\u5143\uff082005\u5e74PPP$\uff09\u201d\u7684\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u8be5\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u4e0b\u9650\u662f\u4e24\u4e2a\u8d2b\u56f0\u7ebf\u6700\u4f4e\u7684\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u8461\u8404\u7259\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\uff09\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u8d2b\u56f0\u7ebf\uff0c\u4e0a\u9650\u4e3a\u6700\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u5362\u68ee\u5821\uff09\u6536\u5165\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6570\u76842\u500d\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u7c7b\u662f\u76f8\u5bf9\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\uff0c\u5982\u674e\u5b9e\u7b49\u4eba\uff082017\uff09\u6309\u7167\u56fd\u9645\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u768466%\u548c300%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u754c\u5b9a\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u3002\u674e\u5b9e\u7b49\u4eba\uff082017\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\u6309\u7167\u201c\u6bcf\u5929\u652f\u51fa10-100\u7f8e\u5143\u201d\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u57282013\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u89c4\u6a21\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8655%\uff0c2016\u5e74\u8fbe\u523066%\u201d\uff1b\u6309\u7167\u201c66%\u548c300%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u201d\u6807\u51c6\uff0c2016\u6211\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u5927\u6982\u8fbe\u523032%\u3002\u867d\u7136\u6309\u7167\u7edd\u5bf9\u6807\u51c6\u6211\u56fd\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6bd4\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0e\u6b27\u7f8e\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u7ed3\u6784\u5c42\u6b21\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u5373\u6211\u56fd\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u6bcf\u5929\u652f\u51fa\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\u843d\u572810~30 \u7f8e\u5143\u533a\u95f4\u5185\uff1b\u6309\u76f8\u5bf9\u6807\u51c6\u6211\u56fd\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u79bb50%\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u3002\u4ece\u672a\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u7efc\u5408\u6536\u5165\u589e\u957f\u548c\u6536\u5165\u5206\u914d\u653f\u7b56\u6539\u5584\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c \u9884\u8ba1\u6309\u7167\u7edd\u5bf9\u6807\u51c6\uff0c2035\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u5c06\u5360\u636e\u5168\u90e8\u4eba\u53e3\u7edd\u5927\u591a\u6570\uff1b\u6309\u76f8\u5bf9\u6807\u51c6\uff0c2035\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u7fa4\u4f53\u5c06\u8fbe60%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e0e\u653f\u7b56\u542f\u793a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u901a\u8fc7\u524d\u9762\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6781\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u5165\u4fdd\u6301\u957f\u671f\u8f83\u4f4e\u589e\u901f\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\uff1b\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u683c\u5c40\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u591a\u6781\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u660e\u663e\uff1b\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u548c\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u975e\u6d32\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u9886\u8dd1\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u5c06\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u672a\u6765\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">1.\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u591a\u6781\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u8f83\u4f4e\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u5f71\u54cd\u5168\u7403\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u968f\u7740\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u6ed1\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u8ffd\u8d76\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u91cf\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u591a\u6781\u5316\u8d8b\u52bf\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u660e\u663e\u3002\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u56f4\u7ed5\u8d44\u6e90\u3001\u73af\u5883\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u5c06\u66f4\u52a0\u6fc0\u70c8\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u5927\u6311\u6218\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u9700\u8981\u505a\u597d\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5e94\u5bf9\u4e4b\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">2.\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8f83\u4f4e\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u7ed9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5347\u7ea7\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u538b\u529b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u6210\u54c1\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4f4e\u901f\u589e\u957f\u5fc5\u5c06\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff1b\u800c\u4e14\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f4e\u901f\u589e\u957f\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u9ad8\u5931\u4e1a\u7b49\u538b\u529b\u4e5f\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u5176\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u62b5\u5236\uff0c\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u4e5f\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3a\u4e86\u6062\u590d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u7eb7\u7eb7\u63a8\u51fa\u518d\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5316\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u56fd\u9645\u8d44\u672c\u56de\u6d41\uff1b\u800c\u4e14\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u5347\u7ea7\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u4e92\u8865\u5173\u7cfb\u9010\u6e10\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u7ade\u4e89\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u672a\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u6765\u81ea\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u538b\u529b\u5c06\u4e0d\u65ad\u52a0\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">3.\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u53d8\u5316\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5904\u7406\u597d\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u63d0\u51fa\u66f4\u5927\u6311\u6218\u3002\u672a\u676515-20\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u603b\u91cf\u7b2c\u4e00\u5927\u56fd\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u843d\u5165\u201c\u4fee\u6614\u5e95\u5fb7\u9677\u9631\u201d\uff0c \u4f46\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u63ed\u793a\uff0c\u5927\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d76\u8d85\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u4e00\u5b9a\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e2d\u7f8e\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u5df2\u7ecf\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u82d7\u5934\u3002\u672a\u6765\u5982\u4f55\u63a8\u52a8\u5efa\u7acb\u65b0\u578b\u5927\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">4.\u5176\u4ed6\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77\u5bf9\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65e2\u662f\u673a\u9047\u53c8\u662f\u6311\u6218\u3002\u968f\u7740\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u73af\u5883\u7b49\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4e0d\u65ad\u6539\u5584\u548c\u5168\u7403\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8f6c\u79fb\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4e1c\u5357\u4e9a\u548c\u6492\u54c8\u62c9\u4ee5\u5357\u975e\u6d32\u90e8\u5206\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c06\u6709\u671b\u52a0\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5176\u5e02\u573a\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u58ee\u5927\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5c06\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a0\u5f3a\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u7ed9\u672a\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u6311\u6218\u3002\uff08\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u53ca\u539f\u6587\u56fe\u8868\u7565\uff09&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\">\u672c\u6587\u6267\u7b14\uff1a\u4f55\u5efa\u6b66 \u6731\u535a\u6069<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201c\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u683c\u5c40\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6218\u7565\u9009\u62e9\u201d\u8bfe\u9898\u7ec4 \u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u56de\u987e \u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u672a\u6765\u7684<\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/?p=6978\" title=\"\u9605\u8bfb\u66f4\u591a\">\u9605\u8bfb\u66f4\u591a<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6978"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6978"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6978\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}