{"id":12777,"date":"2022-03-25T10:21:43","date_gmt":"2022-03-25T02:21:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/?p=12777"},"modified":"2022-03-25T10:21:43","modified_gmt":"2022-03-25T02:21:43","slug":"%e7%a2%b3%e4%b8%ad%e5%92%8c%e7%9b%ae%e6%a0%87%e4%b8%8b%e5%ba%94%e5%8d%8f%e5%8a%9b%e5%8a%a0%e5%bc%ba%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e9%80%82%e5%ba%94%e5%b7%a5%e4%bd%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/?p=12777","title":{"rendered":"\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u4e0b\u5e94\u534f\u529b\u52a0\u5f3a\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u5de5\u4f5c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u90d1 \u8273 \u5e84\u8d35\u9633<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u6211\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u529b\u4e89<span class=\"s1\">2030<\/span>\u5e74\u524d\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u8fbe\u5cf0\u3001<span class=\"s1\">2060<\/span>\u5e74\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e0b\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u89c6\uff0c \u52aa\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u76f8\u5173\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u4ece\u6784\u5efa\u4eba\u7c7b\u547d\u8fd0\u5171\u540c\u4f53\u89d2\u5ea6\u51fa\u53d1\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0<span class=\"s1\">2060 <\/span>\u5e74\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u8fdc\u666f\u76ee\u6807\u975e\u5e38\u5fc5\u8981\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u89c6\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u8d22\u5bcc\u6700\u5bc6\u96c6\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u707e\u5bb3\u98ce\u9669\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u91cd\u51cf\u7f13\u3001\u8f7b\u9002\u5e94\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u4e00\u76f4\u96be\u4ee5\u6539\u53d8\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2021<\/span>\u5e74<span class=\"s1\">8<\/span>\u6708<span class=\"s1\">9<\/span>\u65e5\uff0c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u95f4\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e13\u95e8\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08<span class=\"s2\">IPCC<\/span>\uff09\u53d1\u5e03\u300a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316<span class=\"s1\">2021<\/span>\uff1a\u81ea\u7136\u79d1\u5b66\u57fa\u7840\u300b\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u79d1\u5b66\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\uff0c \u8b66\u793a\u6108\u6f14\u6108\u70c8\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u7ed9\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eae\u8d77\u201c\u7ea2\u8272\u4fe1\u53f7\u201d\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u3002\u751f\u6001\u73af\u5883\u90e8\u6b63\u5728\u79ef\u6781\u63a8\u8fdb\u201c\u56fd\u5bb6\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6218\u7565<span class=\"s1\">2035<\/span>\u201d\u7684\u7f16\u5236\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u51cf\u6392\u4f53\u73b0\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u56fd\u9053\u4e49\u8d23\u4efb\u548c\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5185\u5728\u8981\u6c42\uff0c\u800c\u9002\u5e94\u5219\u610f\u5473\u7740\u786e\u4fdd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u5728\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u603b\u4f53\u76ee\u6807\u4e0b\u5c24\u5176\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u89c6\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u6781\u7aef\u707e\u5bb3\u9891\u53d1\u8b66\u793a\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u7684\u7d27\u8feb\u6027<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">21\u4e16\u7eaa\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6781\u7aef\u98ce\u9669\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u65b0\u5e38\u6001\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2019 <\/span>\u5e74\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u8b66\u793a\u5730\u7403\u5df2\u5904\u4e8e\u7d27\u6025\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u6839\u636e<span class=\"s1\">IPCC<\/span>\u201c\u5168\u7403\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u201d\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8bc4\u4f30\u7684<span class=\"s1\">15<\/span>\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u5730\u7403\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709<span class=\"s1\">9<\/span>\u4e2a\u7a81\u7834\u4e86\u4e34\u754c\u503c\uff0c \u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u6781\u5730\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u5316\u3001\u4e9a\u9a6c\u900a\u96e8\u6797\u9000\u5316\u3001\u73ca\u745a\u7901\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3001\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u73af\u6d41\u51cf\u5f31\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u300a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316<span class=\"s1\">2021<\/span>\uff1a \u81ea\u7136\u79d1\u5b66\u57fa\u7840\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4<span class=\"s1\">1895<\/span>\u2014<span class=\"s1\">1900<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb<span class=\"s1\">1 0 <\/span>\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5730\u8868\u6e29\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u4e86<span class=\"s1\">1.09<\/span>\u2103\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u589e\u6e29\u8d21\u732e\u9ad8\u8fbe<span class=\"s1\">1.07<\/span>\u2103\uff1b<span class=\"s1\">1970<\/span>\u2014<span class=\"s1\">2020<\/span>\u7684\u534a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u662f\u8fc7\u53bb<span class=\"s1\">2000<\/span>\u5e74\u6765\u5730\u7403\u6700\u201c\u70ed\u201d\u7684<span class=\"s1\">50<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5347\u6e29\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u5230\u6216\u8d85\u8fc7<span class=\"s1\">1.5<\/span>\u2103\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u52a0\u5267\u6240\u6709\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u66f4\u9891\u7e41\u548c\u5267\u70c8\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2000<\/span>\u2014 <span class=\"s1\">2019<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5171\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u7ea6<span class=\"s1\">1.1 <\/span>\u4e07\u6b21\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u9020\u6210<span class=\"s1\">47.5<\/span>\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u7ea6<span class=\"s1\">2.56 <\/span>\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2017<\/span>\u5e74\u4e9a\u6d32\u5f00\u53d1\u94f6\u884c\u300a\u9762\u4e34\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff1a\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4eba\u6587\u56e0\u7d20\u300b\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u662f\u6700\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u6c14\u6e29\u5347\u9ad8\u3001\u964d\u6c34\u5f02\u5e38\u3001\u53f0\u98ce\u52a0\u5267\u3001\u6d2a\u707e\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u3001\u7cae\u98df\u77ed\u7f3a\u3001\u6d77\u6d0b\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\u7834\u574f\u7b49\u6b63\u5728\u5a01\u80c1\u7740\u4e9a\u592a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u51cf\u707e\u6218\u7565\u62a5\u544a\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5728<span class=\"s1\">2005<\/span>\u2014<span class=\"s1\">2050<\/span>\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u6d2a\u707e\u5e74\u635f\u5931\u589e\u5e45\u6700\u5927\u7684<span class=\"s1\">20<\/span>\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u4e2d\uff0c\u6709<span class=\"s1\">13<\/span>\u4e2a\u5728\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec<span class=\"s1\">5<\/span>\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6cbf\u6d77\u53d1\u8fbe\u57ce\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u52a0\u5267\u4e2d\u56fd\u533a\u57df\u6c14\u5019\u548c\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u3002<span class=\"s1\">1978<\/span>\u2014<span class=\"s1\">2020<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c \u4e2d\u56fd\u57ce\u9547\u4eba\u53e3\u4ece<span class=\"s1\">1.72<\/span>\u4ebf\u8dc3\u589e\u81f3<span class=\"s1\">9.02<\/span>\u4ebf\uff0c\u5168\u56fd<span class=\"s1\">80%<\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0a<span class=\"s1\">GDP<\/span>\u548c\u8d85\u8fc7<span class=\"s1\">60%<\/span>\u4eba\u53e3\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4e1c\u4e2d\u90e8<span class=\"s1\">1 2 <\/span>\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u7fa4\u5730\u533a\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2008<\/span>\u5e74\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u7f72\uff08<span class=\"s2\">UNEP<\/span>\uff09\u300a\u5927\u6c14\u68d5\u8272\u4e91\uff1a\u4e9a\u6d32\u533a\u57df\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6cbf\u6d77\u4e09\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u7fa4\u662f\u201c \u4e9a\u6d32\u68d5\u8272\u4e91\u201d\uff08<span class=\"s2\">\u9ed1\u78b3\u6c14\u6eb6\u80f6<\/span>\uff09\u6392\u653e\u7684\u70ed\u70b9\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u9ed1\u78b3\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9752\u85cf\u9ad8\u539f\u51b0\u5ddd\u7684\u5347\u6e29\u6548\u679c\u662f\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u7684<span class=\"s1\">3 <\/span>\u500d\uff0c \u662f\u52a0\u901f\u6781\u5730\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u5316\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5347\u6e29\u7684\u52a9\u63a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<span class=\"s1\">1950<\/span>\u2014 <span class=\"s1\">2000<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7531\u4e8e\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u57ce\u5e02\u6392\u653e\uff08<span class=\"s2\">\u6765\u81ea\u5316\u77f3\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u85aa\u67f4\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u71c3\u70e7<\/span>\uff09\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u6c14\u8c61\u707e\u5bb3\u589e\u52a0\u4e86<span class=\"s1\">5<\/span>\u500d\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c14\u5019\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c<span class=\"s1\">20<\/span>\u4e16\u7eaa\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fc7\u53bb<span class=\"s1\">2000<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u6696\u7684\u767e\u5e74\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c \u533a\u57df\u589e\u6e29\u5e45\u5ea6\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c \u5176\u4e2d<span class=\"s1\">1\/3<\/span>\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u589e\u6e29\u6765\u81ea\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u70ed\u5c9b\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u5927\u6c14\u5347\u6e29<span class=\"s1\">1<\/span>\u2103\uff0c\u6301\u6c34\u80fd\u529b\u589e\u52a0\u7ea6<span class=\"s1\">7%<\/span>\u3002\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u5f15\u53d1\u6c34\u6c7d\u5faa\u73af\u5931\u5e38\uff0c\u5c06\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u591a\u66f4\u5f3a\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u548c\u5e72\u65f1\u3001\u6d2a\u6d9d\u3001\u53f0\u98ce\u707e\u5bb3\u3002\u6211\u56fd\u76f8\u5173\u90e8\u95e8\u63a8\u8fdb\u7684\u4f4e\u78b3\u57ce\u5e02\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u578b\u57ce\u5e02\u3001\u6d77\u7ef5\u57ce\u5e02\u3001\u751f\u6001\u6587\u660e\u793a\u8303\u57ce\u5e02\u7b49\u8bd5\u70b9\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u90fd\u5e94\u7eb3\u5165\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u603b\u4f53\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u53d1\u6325\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u534f\u540c\u6548\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u5f15\u53d1\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f52\u56e0\u673a\u5236\u4ecd\u5177\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u6bd4\u51cf\u6392\u66f4\u4e3a\u8feb\u5207\u3002<span class=\"s1\">IPCC<\/span>\u7b2c\u4e94\u6b21\u79d1\u5b66\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\uff08<span class=\"s2\">2014<\/span>\uff09\u6307\u51fa\uff0c \u201c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u6781\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\uff08<span class=\"s2\">9 5 % \u6982\u7387<\/span>\uff09\u662f\u5f15\u53d1<span class=\"s1\">1950<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u6765\u5168\u7403\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5347\u6e29\uff08<span class=\"s2\">5 0 % \u4ee5\u4e0a<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u56e0\u7d20\u201d\uff1b\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u5219\u4ee5\u8fd1\u4e4e\u4e0d\u5bb9\u7f6e\u7591\u7684\u8bed\u6c14\u8868\u660e\uff1a \u201c\u6beb\u65e0\u7591\u95ee\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u5f71\u54cd\u5df2\u7ecf\u9020\u6210\u5927\u6c14\u3001\u6d77\u6d0b\u548c\u9646\u5730\u53d8\u6696\u3002\u201d \u9700\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\uff0c\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u8bba\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u662f<span class=\"s1\">IPCC<\/span>\u8bd5\u56fe\u4ee5\u79d1\u5b66\u540d\u4e49\u5f3a\u529b\u7763\u4fc3\u5168\u7403\u52a0\u5927\u51cf\u6392\u529b\u5ea6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u653f\u6cbb\u8bba\u65ad\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u65e5\u76ca\u9891\u7e41\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u707e\u5bb3\uff0c\u8b66\u793a\u5404\u56fd\u9002\u5e94\u5c24\u4e3a\u8feb\u5207\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2020 <\/span>\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u6c5b\u671f\uff0c\u6c5f\u897f\u5a7a\u6e90<span class=\"s1\">800<\/span>\u5e74\u5f69\u8679\u5eca\u6865\u3001\u5b89\u5fbd\u7701<span class=\"s1\">480<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u9547\u6d77\u6865\u3001\u5b89\u5fbd\u5ba3\u57ce<span class=\"s1\">470<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u4e50\u6210\u6865\uff0c\u6e56\u5357\u5f20\u5bb6\u754c<span class=\"s1\">300<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u98ce\u96e8\u6865\u7b49\u5357\u65b9<span class=\"s1\">10<\/span>\u4f59\u7701\u767e\u4f59\u5904\u53e4\u5efa\u7b51\u63a5\u8fde\u88ab\u6d2a\u6c34\u6bc1\u635f\uff0c\u8868\u660e<span class=\"s1\">21<\/span>\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u906d\u9047\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u6c14\u5019\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8d85\u51fa\u4e2d\u56fd\u53e4\u4eba\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\u8bbe\u8ba1\u6807\u51c6\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2021<\/span>\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u7b49\u6b27\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u906d\u9047\u767e\u5e74\u4e0d\u9047\u7684\u6d41\u57df\u6d2a\u6c34\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u6cb3\u5357\u906d\u9047\u201c\u5343\u5e74\u4e00\u9047\u201d\u7279\u5927\u66b4\u96e8\uff0c\u6ce2\u53ca\u9762\u5e7f\u3001\u635f\u5931\u91cd\u5927\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u6c14\u8c61\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6307\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u201c\u5730\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6ce2\u52a8\u6a21\u5f0f\u201d\uff0c\u662f\u9020\u6210\u5404\u5927\u6d32\u9177\u6691\u3001\u5e72\u65f1\u3001\u66b4\u96e8\u548c\u5bd2\u6d41\u7b49\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u7684\u6839\u6e90\u3002\u65e5\u8d8b\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u672a\u6765\u51fa\u73b0\u66f4\u591a\u7a81\u7834\u5386\u53f2\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u201c \u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u907f\u514d\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u5ffd\u89c6\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u7684\u503e\u5411<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">\u51cf\u6392\u548c\u9002\u5e94\u5177\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u903b\u8f91\u3002\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6846\u67b6\u516c\u7ea6\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u4e3a\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6240\u4e3b\u5bfc\uff0c\u81ea<span class=\"s1\">2009<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u624d\u5f00\u59cb\u6210\u4e3a\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u56db\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u8bae\u9898\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\uff0c\u51cf\u6392\u662f\u9002\u5e94\u7684\u957f\u671f\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u662f\u5730\u65b9\u884c\u52a8\u3001\u5168\u7403\u8d21\u732e\uff1b\u9002\u5e94\u5219\u662f\u8c01\u5148\u884c\u52a8\u3001\u8c01\u5148\u53d7\u76ca\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u79d1\u5b66\u4e8b\u5b9e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u4ee5\u575a\u5b9a\u7684\u51b3\u5fc3\u5b9e\u73b0\u6e29\u63a7<span class=\"s1\">1.5<\/span>\u2103\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4e5f\u96be\u4ee5\u626d\u8f6c\u6c14\u5019\u5371\u673a\u52a0\u5267\u6001\u52bf\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u5b89\u5168\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u9996\u8981\u8d23\u4efb\uff0c \u5df2\u7ecf\u523b\u4e0d\u5bb9\u7f13\u3001\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u3002\u5168\u7403\u9002\u5e94\u4e2d\u5fc3\u300a\u9002\u5e94\u73b0\u72b6\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u62a5\u544a<span class=\"s1\">2020<\/span>\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff1a \u4e9a\u592a\u662f\u5168\u7403\u4eba\u53e3\u6700\u5bc6\u96c6\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c \u62e5\u6709\u5168\u7403<span class=\"s1\">1\/4<\/span>\u4eba\u53e3\u548c<span class=\"s1\">1\/3<\/span>\u57ce\u5e02\u3001<span class=\"s1\">70%<\/span>\u7684\u98ce\u66b4\u6f6e\u548c\u534a\u6570\u6d2a\u707e\uff1b\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5185\u7684\u4e9a\u592a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f80\u5f80\u5c06\u63d0\u9ad8\u80fd\u6e90\u6548\u7387\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u800c\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e86\u9002\u5e94\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u5b66\u8005\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u4e0b\u63a8\u52a8\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u51cf\u6392\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u8f83\u5927\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u6781\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u65e5\u76ca\u8feb\u8fd1\u7684\u9608\u503c\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c \u4e9f\u9700\u5728\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u4e0b\u52a0\u5f3a\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u672a\u80fd\u7edf\u9886\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u3001\u9632\u707e\u51cf\u707e\u4e0e\u51cf\u6392\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u751f\u6001\u6587\u660e\u5efa\u8bbe\u7684\u6293\u624b\uff0c \u6210\u4e3a\u4f4e\u78b3\u7eff\u8272\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f15\u64ce\uff0c\u7406\u5e94\u7edf\u9886\u6c14\u5019\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u751f\u6001\u5efa\u8bbe\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u53d1\u5c55\u8bae\u9898\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5728\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ece\u653f\u5e9c\u5230\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u591a\u6709\u8bef\u89e3\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u8fdd\u80cc\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89c4\u5f8b\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u727a\u7272\u6c11\u751f\u7684\u201c\u4e00\u5200\u5207\u201d\u3001\u5f3a\u5236\u5316\u51cf\u6392\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u6ce8\u91cd\u5de5\u4e1a\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u95e8\u51cf\u6392\uff0c\u5ffd\u89c6\u57ce\u5e02\u751f\u547d\u7ebf\u9632\u62a4\u3001\u65b0\u57fa\u5efa\u6c14\u5019\u97e7\u6027\u6539\u9020\u7b49\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u6392\u653e\u9700\u6c42\uff1b\u690d\u6811\u9020\u6797\u91cd\u78b3\u6c47\u3001\u8f7b\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u4fdd\u62a4\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u5f80\u5f80\u7acb\u8db3\u4e8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u7ade\u4e89\u529b\uff0c \u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u300a\u6b27\u76df\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6218\u7565\u300b\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u6846\u67b6\u4f9d\u6b21\u662f\uff1a \u9632\u707e\u51cf\u707e<span class=\"s1\">&lt;<\/span>\u6c14\u5019\u884c\u52a8\uff08<span class=\"s2\">\u9002\u5e94\u4e0e\u51cf\u6392<\/span>\uff09 <span class=\"s1\">&lt; <\/span>\u97e7\u6027<span class=\"s1\">&lt; <\/span>\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7406\u5ff5\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u97e7\u6027\u89c4\u5212\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c06\u51cf\u6392\u3001\u9002\u5e94\u3001\u707e\u5bb3\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u4f5c\u4e3a\u57ce\u5e02\u66f4\u65b0\u548c\u7eff\u8272\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65b0\u673a\u9047\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c \u6211\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u4ece\u4e0a\u5230\u4e0b\u529b\u63a8\u7684\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\uff0c\u4e0e\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u3001\u9002\u5e94\u3001\u9632\u707e\u51cf\u707e\u7b49\u76f8\u5173\u90e8\u95e8\u5404\u81ea\u4e3a\u653f\uff0c\u5c1a\u672a\u5f62\u6210\u6574\u4f53\u5408\u529b\uff0c\u8fdc\u672a\u53d1\u6325\u534f\u540c\u6548\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u8b66\u60d5\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u4e0b\u6c61\u67d3\u4ea7\u4e1a\u5411\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u8f6c\u79fb\u3002\u51cf\u6392\u76ee\u6807\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u6307\u6708\u6307\u201d\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5730\u65b9\u90e8\u95e8\u91cd\u89c6\u6307\u6807\u8003\u6838\u662f\u5426\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u5ffd\u89c6\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u7684\u6839\u672c\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u751f\u6001\u6587\u660e\u5efa\u8bbe\u3002\u6211\u56fd\u72ec\u7279\u7684\u5730\u7406\u6c14\u5019\u73af\u5883\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u4eba\u53e3\u5730\u7406\u5206\u754c\u7ebf\uff0c \u897f\u5317\u90e8\u662f\u5178\u578b\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u8106\u5f31\u548c\u751f\u6001\u654f\u611f\u533a\uff0c \u7531\u4e8e\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u6c14\u5019\u8d44\u6e90\u5b58\u91cf\u5927\u3001\u7980\u8d4b\u8f83\u597d\uff0c \u5728\u78b3\u4ea4\u6613\u5e02\u573a\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u6bd4\u8f83\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u897f\u90e8\u7701\u4efd\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u63d0\u5347\u75ab\u60c5\u540e\u590d\u82cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u63d0\u632f\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u91cd\u4efb\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4e1c\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f85\u6dd8\u6c70\u7684\u843d\u540e\u4ea7\u80fd\u501f\u673a\u8f6c\u79fb\u3002\u897f\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u5f15\u8fdb\u9ad8\u6392\u653e\u3001\u9ad8\u80fd\u8017\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4e0d\u4f46\u4f1a\u7f29\u51cf\u672c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u5bb9\u91cf\uff0c \u8fd8\u4f1a\u56e0\u4f34\u751f\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u6392\u653e\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e3b\u8981\u6c5f\u6cb3\u53d1\u6e90\u5730\u3001\u5185\u9646\u51b0\u5ddd\u6d41\u57df\u5e26\u6765\u6f5c\u5728\u9690\u60a3\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u897f\u90e8\u9ad8\u78b3\u7701\u4efd\u8fd1\u4e9b\u5e74\u5927\u529b\u53d1\u5c55\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u77f3\u5316\u3001\u94a2\u94c1\u7b49\u91cd\u5de5\u4e1a\uff0c\u6324\u5360\u4e86\u5f53\u5730\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u9650\u7684\u751f\u6001\u7528\u6c34\u3001\u5927\u6c14\u81ea\u51c0\u5bb9\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u9700\u8981\u7eb3\u5165\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u673a\u5236\u3001\u56fd\u571f\u7a7a\u95f4\u89c4\u5212\u3001\u751f\u6001\u6587\u660e\u5efa\u8bbe\u4e2d\u4e00\u5e76\u8003\u8651\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u4eba\u6c11\u5bf9\u5b89\u5168\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u9700\u8981\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u8feb\u5207\u3002\u98ce\u9669\u524a\u5f31\u53d1\u5c55\u6210\u5c31\uff0c \u6210\u4e3a\u989d\u5916\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u8d1f\u62c5\u3002<span class=\"s1\">2021<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c \u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5747<span class=\"s1\">GDP<\/span>\u8fbe\u5230<span class=\"s1\">1.25<\/span>\u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5c0f\u5eb7\u793e\u4f1a\u5efa\u6210\uff0c \u4eba\u6c11\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7f8e\u597d\u5e73\u5b89\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5411\u5f80\u4e0d\u65ad\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u300a\u4e2d\u2014\u82f1\u5408\u4f5c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u98ce\u9669\u8bc4\u4f30\u2014\u2014\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u6307\u6807\u7814\u7a76\u300b\u62a5\u544a\u63d0\u9192\u6c14\u5019\u5b89\u5168\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u6765\u56fd\u8ba1\u6c11\u751f\u7684\u56db\u5927\u9886\u57df\uff1a \u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u57ce\u5e02\u6d2a\u6d9d\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u8d2b\u56f0\u548c\u79fb\u6c11\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u98ce\u9669\u7b49\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u9ad8\uff0c \u98ce\u9669\u968f\u5347\u6e29\u9012\u589e\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u589e\u6e29<span class=\"s1\">2<\/span>\u2103 \u4e0e<span class=\"s1\">1 . 5 <\/span>\u2103 \u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c \u4e2d\u56fd\u91cd\u5ea6\u5e72\u65f1\u548c\u6d2a\u6c34\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u5c06\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u52a0\u8fd1<span class=\"s1\">1 <\/span>\u500d\uff1b \u6e29\u5347<span class=\"s1\">2 <\/span>\u2103 \u65f6\uff0c \u53d7\u5230\u9ad8\u6e29\u70ed\u6d6a\u548c\u6d2a\u6d9d\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u533a\u5c06\u5360\u5168\u56fd\u603b\u9762\u79ef\u7684<span class=\"s1\">27%<\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c \u7ecf\u6d4e\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u533a\u9762\u79ef\u7ea6\u5360\u5168\u56fd<span class=\"s1\">16%<\/span>\u3002\u6211\u56fd\u57ce\u5e02\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8fc7<span class=\"s1\">60%<\/span>\uff0c \u7136\u800c\u57ce\u5e02\u89c4\u5212\u5efa\u8bbe\u9c9c\u6709\u8003\u8651\u957f\u671f\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u6781\u7aef\u707e\u5bb3\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5c0f\u6982\u7387\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u57ce\u5e02\u7ba1\u7406\u8005\u5e38\u51fa\u4e8e\u6210\u672c\u6536\u76ca\u8003\u8651\u800c\u5ffd\u89c6\u9632\u707e\u51cf\u707e\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5e38\u89c4\u707e\u5bb3\u98ce\u9669\u5c1a\u80fd\u5e94\u5bf9\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u548c\u533a\u57df\u5c3a\u5ea6\u9a71\u52a8\u4e0b\u7684\u5de8\u707e\uff0c\u4ece\u9884\u6d4b\u5230\u5e94\u6025\u90fd\u96be\u514d\u5931\u4e8e\u9632\u8303\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u4f4f\u5efa\u90e8<span class=\"s1\">2021<\/span>\u5e74\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u6392\u6c34\u9632\u6d9d\u6807\u51c6\uff0c<span class=\"s1\">90%<\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5185\u6d9d\u9632\u6cbb\u6807\u51c6\u4e3a<span class=\"s1\">20<\/span>\u2014<span class=\"s1\">30<\/span>\u5e74\u4e00\u9047\uff0c\u4ec5\u5c11\u6570\u7279\u5927\u57ce\u5e02\u8bbe\u9632\u6807\u51c6\u4e3a<span class=\"s1\">50<\/span>\u2014<span class=\"s1\">100<\/span>\u5e74\u4e00\u9047\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6240\u8c13\u201c\u5343\u5e74\u4e00\u9047\u201d\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u60c5\u5f62\u51e0\u4e4e\u4ece\u672a\u8651\u53ca\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u5c06\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u7eb3\u5165\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u673a\u5236\u7684\u5bf9\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p3\">\u52a0\u5f3a\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\uff0c\u662f\u540e\u75ab\u60c5\u65f6\u4ee3\u63d0\u5347\u7ecf\u6d4e\u97e7\u6027\u548c\u6c11\u751f\u798f\u7949\u7684\u53cc\u8d62\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u5168\u7403\u9002\u5e94\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08<span class=\"s2\">The Global Commission on Adaptation<\/span>\uff09<span class=\"s1\">2019<\/span>\u5e74\u65d7\u8230\u62a5\u544a\u300a\u7acb\u5373\u9002\u5e94\uff1a \u63d0\u5347\u6c14\u5019\u97e7\u6027\u7684\u5168\u7403\u9886\u5bfc\u529b\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u9884\u8b66\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u97e7\u6027\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u3001\u6539\u8fdb\u65f1\u5730\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u6280\u672f\u3001\u5168\u7403\u7ea2\u6811\u6797\u4fdd\u62a4\u3001\u6c34\u5b89\u5168\u7b49\u4e3b\u8981\u9002\u5e94\u9886\u57df\u6295\u8d44<span class=\"s1\">1.8<\/span>\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u4ea7\u751f\u603b\u8ba1<span class=\"s1\">7.1<\/span>\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u51c0\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u5168\u7403\u9002\u5e94\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e8e<span class=\"s1\">2021<\/span>\u5e74\u521d\u53d1\u5e03\u300a\u9002\u5e94\u73b0\u72b6\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u62a5\u544a<span class=\"s1\">2020<\/span>\uff1a \u540e\u75ab\u60c5\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5e94\u52a0\u5f3a\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u6b63\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u591a\u91cd\u707e\u5bb3\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u662f\u534f\u540c\u5e94\u5bf9\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e09\u5927\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6700\u597d\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u5230<span class=\"s1\">2030<\/span>\u5e74\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u8d44\u91d1\u9700\u6c42\u5c06\u9ad8\u8fbe<span class=\"s1\">1400<\/span>\u4ebf\u2014<span class=\"s1\">3000<\/span>\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4ece\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u591a\u8fb9\u56fd\u9645\u94f6\u884c\u8d37\u6b3e\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u7528\u4e8e\u97e7\u6027\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u6295\u8d44\uff0c \u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f97<span class=\"s1\">4 <\/span>\u500d\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u540e\u75ab\u60c5\u65f6\u4ee3\u5404\u56fd\u52a9\u63a8\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u662f\u6700\u5177\u6210\u672c\u6548\u7387\u7684\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u5c06\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u76ee\u6807\u7eb3\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u603b\u4f53\u673a\u5236\u4f53\u7cfb\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u76ee\u6807\u4e0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c14\u5019\u5b89\u5168\u7d27\u5bc6\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u751f\u6001\u73af\u5883\u90e8\u6b63\u5728\u7ec4\u7ec7<span class=\"s1\">20<\/span>\u4f59\u90e8\u95e8\u3001\u6570\u5341\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u53c2\u4e0e\u7f16\u5236\u201c\u56fd\u5bb6\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6218\u7565<span class=\"s1\">2035<\/span>\u201d\uff0c\u5e94\u5f53\u501f\u52a9\u8fd9\u4e00\u5951\u673a\uff0c \u5c06\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e00\u5e76\u7eb3\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u9886\u5bfc\u5c0f\u7ec4\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u9002\u5e94\u4e13\u9879\u9886\u5bfc\u5c0f\u7ec4\u3001\u786e\u5b9a\u7275\u5934\u843d\u5b9e\u90e8\u95e8\u3001\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e13\u9879\u8d44\u91d1\u53ca\u9002\u5e94\u4e13\u5bb6\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7b49\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u53c2\u8003\u300a\u9002\u5e94\u6218\u7565\u300b\u7684\u5206\u9886\u57df\u548c\u533a\u57df\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u76ee\u6807\uff0c \u5728\u5730\u65b9\u7701\u5e02\u3001\u90e8\u95e8\u201c<span class=\"s1\">1+N<\/span>\u201d\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u89c4\u5212\u4e2d\uff0c \u6574\u5408\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u78b3\u8fbe\u5cf0\u4efb\u52a1\u5206\u89e3\u3001\u5730\u65b9\u53d1\u5c55\u9700\u6c42\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u5c06\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u76ee\u6807\u548c\u6307\u6807\u7eb3\u5165\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u4fdd\u7763\u67e5\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c \u4ece\u4e0a\u5230\u4e0b\u7eb3\u5165\u5404\u7ea7\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u201c\u53cc\u78b3\u201d\u76ee\u6807\u3001\u9879\u76ee\u5ba1\u6279\u3001\u8d44\u91d1\u673a\u5236\u7b49\u76f8\u5173\u5de5\u4f5c\u90e8\u7f72\uff1b\u5f62\u6210\u6709\u6548\u7684\u76d1\u7763\u3001\u6fc0\u52b1\u4e0e\u8003\u6838\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4f9d\u636e\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u5730\u56fe\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u8d44\u6e90\u627f\u8f7d\u529b\u5236\u5b9a\u5730\u533a\u957f\u8fdc\u53d1\u5c55\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u5728\u91cd\u5927\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u5de5\u7a0b\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\u5b9e\u65bd\u6c34\u3001\u571f\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u3001\u751f\u6001\u8d44\u6e90\u7ea2\u7ebf\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u52a0\u5f3a\u6c14\u5019\u98ce\u9669\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u8bba\u8bc1\uff0c\u5c06\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u76ee\u6807\u4e0e\u653f\u5e9c\u201c\u53cc\u78b3\u201d\u76ee\u6807\u7ee9\u6548\u8003\u6838\u6302\u94a9\uff0c\u843d\u5b9e\u76d1\u7763\u3001\u8003\u6838\u4e0e\u8ffd\u8d23\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u63d0\u5347\u654f\u611f\u884c\u4e1a\u548c\u91cd\u70b9\u5730\u533a\u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u7684\u4f18\u5148\u7ea7\u3002\u9002\u5e94\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u957f\u671f\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\uff1f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u91cd\u89c6\u4e0d\u591f\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8003\u6838\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4e0e\u4e13\u9879\u8d44\u91d1\u652f\u6301\u673a\u5236\u3002\u300a\u9002\u5e94\u73b0\u72b6\u548c\u8d8b\u52bf\u62a5\u544a<span class=\"s1\">2020<\/span>\u300b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c \u7f3a\u4e4f\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u3001\u53ef\u6bd4\u8f83\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u6307\u6807\u662f\u5168\u7403\u9002\u5e94\u8fdb\u7a0b\u8fdc\u8fdc\u6ede\u540e\u4e8e\u51cf\u6392\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u4ece\u56fd\u5bb6\u5230\u5730\u65b9\u9010\u7ea7\u843d\u5b9e\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u7684\u8003\u6838\u8d23\u4efb\u5236\uff0c \u6210\u6548\u7a81\u51fa\u3002\u751f\u6001\u73af\u5883\u90e8<span class=\"s1\">2017<\/span>\u2014<span class=\"s1\">2020 <\/span>\u5e74\u5f00\u5c55\u7684<span class=\"s1\">2 8 <\/span>\u4e2a\u201c \u6c14\u5019\u9002\u5e94\u578b\u57ce\u5e02\u8bd5\u70b9\u201d\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u65e2\u7f3a\u4e4f\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d44\u91d1\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4e5f\u7f3a\u4e4f\u6280\u672f\u5bfc\u5219\u4e0e\u8003\u6838\u8bc4\u4f30\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5730\u65b9\u8bd5\u70b9\u57ce\u5e02\u6478\u7740\u77f3\u5934\u8fc7\u6cb3\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u5de5\u4f5c\u6ca1\u6709\u6293\u624b\u3002\u9488\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u60c5\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u79d1\u9662\u5b66\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u53d1\u5c55\u578b\u9002\u5e94\u3001\u589e\u91cf\u578b\u9002\u5e94\u3001\u8f6c\u578b\u9002\u5e94\u201d \u7b49\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u56e0\u5730\u5236\u5b9c\u5236\u5b9a\u884c\u4e1a\u548c\u5730\u65b9\u9002\u5e94\u884c\u52a8\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e1c\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u8fbe\uff0c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u9632\u62a4\u6c34\u5e73\u9ad8\uff0c\u53ef\u9488\u5bf9\u53f0\u98ce\u3001\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u7b49\u65b0\u589e\u98ce\u9669\u52a0\u5f3a\u6d77\u5cb8\u5e26\u9632\u62a4\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u97e7\u6027\u4ea4\u901a\u548c\u901a\u8baf\u7cfb\u7edf\u3001\u97e7\u6027\u793e\u533a\u5efa\u8bbe\u7b49\u589e\u91cf\u9002\u5e94\u6295\u5165\uff1b\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u548c\u4e1c\u5317\u5730\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u5e94\u707e\u80fd\u529b\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u53ef\u52a0\u5f3a\u9884\u8b66\u76d1\u6d4b\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u97e7\u6027\u3001\u519c\u4e1a\u3001\u5e94\u6025\u3001\u901a\u8baf\u3001\u533b\u7597\u536b\u751f\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u4fdd\u969c\u7b49\u53d1\u5c55\u578b\u9002\u5e94\u6295\u5165\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u9f13\u52b1\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cd\u5927\u53d1\u5c55\u6218\u7565\u533a\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ea7\u65b0\u533a\u3001\u65b0\u5efa\u57ce\u9547\u5316\u5730\u533a\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u751f\u6001\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u8d44\u6e90\u7980\u8d4b\u826f\u597d\u5730\u533a\u3001\u8d44\u6e90\u67af\u7aed\u578b\u5730\u533a\u7b49\u5f00\u5c55\u8f6c\u578b\u9002\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u8d8b\u5229\u907f\u5bb3\uff0c\u53d1\u6398\u6c14\u5019\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65b0\u673a\u9047\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u6c14\u5019\u5b66\u5bb6\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u6696\u3001\u964d\u6c34\u589e\u591a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u533a\u57df\u5177\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u6709\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u5728\u591a\u79cd\u5168\u7403\u548c\u533a\u57df\u6c14\u5019\u9884\u4f30\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c \u4e2d\u56fd<span class=\"s1\">2 1 <\/span>\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u68ee\u6797\u9762\u79ef\u3001\u751f\u7269\u91cf\u3001\u7cae\u98df\u4ea7\u91cf\u3001\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u90fd\u5c06\u5448\u73b0\u603b\u4f53\u589e\u52a0\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1b\u897f\u90e8\u5e72\u65f1\u548c\u534a\u5e72\u65f1\u5730\u533a\u8fd1<span class=\"s1\">30<\/span>\u591a\u5e74\u8d8b\u4e8e\u6696\u6e7f\u5316\uff0c\u8fd1<span class=\"s1\">10<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u6781\u7aef\u5e72\u65f1\u533a\u9762\u79ef\u7f29\u5c0f\u5e45\u5ea6\u8fbe<span class=\"s1\">25%<\/span>\uff0c \u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u897f\u90e8\u5e72\u65f1\u5730\u533a\u7684\u751f\u6001\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u57ce\u9547\u5316\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u6293\u4f4f\u5929\u65f6\u3001\u5730\u5229\u3001\u4eba\u548c\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u673a\u9047\uff0c\u9002\u65f6\u53d1\u5c55\u53ef\u518d\u751f\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u65c5\u6e38\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u91d1\u878d\u7b49\u65b0\u5174\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6c14\u8c61\u90e8\u95e8\u5f00\u5c55\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u8d44\u6e90\u8bc4\u4f30\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u6807\u5fd7\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u5b9c\u5c45\u57ce\u5e02\u8bc4\u5b9a\uff0c\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u65c5\u6e38\u5730\u6c14\u5019\u8212\u9002\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6e29<span class=\"s1\">\/<\/span>\u6e7f\u5ea6\u6307\u6570\u3001\u98ce\u6548\u6307\u6570\u548c\u7740\u8863\u6307\u6570\u7b49\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u6c14\u5019\u4ea7\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\uff1b\u897f\u90e8\u5e72\u65f1\u5730\u533a\u51e0\u5341\u5e74\u575a\u6301\u201c\u9000\u8015\u8fd8\u6797\u201d\u5de5\u7a0b\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u8352\u6f20\u53d8\u7eff\u6d32\u7684\u5947\u8ff9\uff0c\u5e76\u534f\u540c\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e86\u7cbe\u51c6\u6276\u8d2b\u548c\u751f\u6001\u4fdd\u62a4\u76ee\u6807\uff1b\u4e2d\u56fd\u62e5\u6709<span class=\"s1\">1.8<\/span>\u4e07\u516c\u91cc\u9646\u5730\u6d77\u5cb8\u7ebf\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u6d77\u6d0b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5df2\u5360\u6cbf\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u7684<span class=\"s1\">17%<\/span>\uff0c \u8bb8\u591a\u6cbf\u6d77\u57ce\u5e02\u901a\u8fc7\u6d77\u7ef5\u57ce\u5e02\u3001\u751f\u6001\u6d77\u5cb8\u5e26\u5efa\u8bbe\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u65e2\u9632\u8303\u6d77\u6f6e\u548c\u6d2a\u6c34\u4fb5\u88ad\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u53d1\u5c55\u6d77\u6d0b\u6e14\u4e1a\u3001\u4f11\u95f2\u65c5\u6e38\u7b49\u751f\u6001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p1\">\u52a0\u5f3a\u51cf\u7f13\u4e0e\u9002\u5e94\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u534f\u540c\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u97e7\u6027\u3002<span class=\"s1\">IPCC<\/span>\u62a5\u544a\u9ad8\u5ea6\u91cd\u89c6\u6c14\u5019\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u534f\u540c\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u8de8\u90e8\u95e8\u8de8\u533a\u57df\u7684\u534f\u4f5c\u80fd\u591f\u53d1\u6325<span class=\"s1\">1+1&gt;2<\/span>\u7684\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u81ea<span class=\"s1\">2007<\/span>\u5e74\u9881\u5e03\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u56fd\u5bb6\u65b9\u6848\u300b\u4ee5\u6765\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u51cf\u6392\u6210\u5c31\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c \u6c14\u5019\u884c\u52a8\u80fd\u591f\u534f\u540c\u5b9e\u73b0\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u6c11\u751f\u798f\u7949\u3002\u4e0e\u51cf\u6392\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u9002\u5e94\u884c\u52a8\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u7684\u201c\u5730\u65b9\u7279\u8272\u201d \u6216\u201c\u90e8\u95e8\u7279\u8272\u201d\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\u8f83\u5927\u3001\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5730\u533a\u4ee5\u53ca\u519c\u6797\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u3001\u5efa\u7b51\u3001\u751f\u6001\u5efa\u8bbe\u7b49\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c \u662f\u5b9e\u65bd\u534f\u540c\u7ba1\u7406\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u9886\u57df\u3002\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd<span class=\"s1\">2060<\/span>\u5e74\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u5bf9\u51cf\u7f13\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u7ea6\u4e3a<span class=\"s1\">0.2<\/span>\u2103<span class=\"s1\">-0.3<\/span>\u2103\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u5e26\u52a8\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0a\u767e\u4e07\u4ebf\u4eba\u6c11\u5e01\u7684\u7eff\u8272\u4ea7\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u63d0\u5347<span class=\"s1\">GDP<\/span>\u589e\u957f\u7387\u9ad8\u8fbe<span class=\"s1\">5%<\/span>\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u56e0\u51cf\u6392\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u6539\u8fdb\u793e\u4f1a\u6548\u76ca\u5c06\u9ad8\u8fbe<span class=\"s1\">10<\/span>\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8003\u8651\u9002\u5e94\u9700\u6c42\uff0c \u8fd8\u5c06\u5e26\u6765\u500d\u52a0\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62c9\u52a8\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u201c\u5341\u56db\u4e94\u201d\u89c4\u5212\u671f\u95f4\uff0c \u5e94\u5207\u5b9e\u63a8\u8fdb\u201c\u56fd\u5bb6\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6218\u7565<span class=\"s1\">2035<\/span>\u201d\u843d\u5730\uff0c\u52a0\u5927\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u654f\u611f\u4e8c\u4e09\u4ea7\u4e1a\u3001\u91cd\u5927\u6218\u7565\u53d1\u5c55\u533a\u57df\u3001\u5173\u952e\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u91cd\u5927\u5de5\u7a0b\u3001\u91cd\u8981\u751f\u6001\u529f\u80fd\u533a\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u8106\u5f31\u7fa4\u4f53\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u592f\u5b9e\u6c14\u5019\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u56fd\u6c11\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b89\u5168\u5065\u5eb7\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent:2em;\" class=\"p2\">\u4f5c\u8005\u5355\u4f4d\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u751f\u6001\u6587\u660e\u7814\u7a76\u6240<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u90d1 \u8273 \u5e84\u8d35\u9633 \u6211\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u529b\u4e892030\u5e74\u524d\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u8fbe\u5cf0\u30012060\u5e74\u5b9e\u73b0\u78b3\u4e2d\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u56fd\u4e0a\u4e0b\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u89c6\uff0c \u52aa\u529b\u63a8\u52a8<\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/?p=12777\" title=\"\u9605\u8bfb\u66f4\u591a\">\u9605\u8bfb\u66f4\u591a<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12777"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12777"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12777\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12778,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12777\/revisions\/12778"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cdo.develpress.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}